<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="820" height="547" src="https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/05/GettyImages-1235136882-820x547.jpg" alt="" class="wp-image-424689" srcset="https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/05/GettyImages-1235136882-820x547.jpg 820w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/05/GettyImages-1235136882-300x200.jpg 300w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/05/GettyImages-1235136882-135x90.jpg 135w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/05/GettyImages-1235136882-768x512.jpg 768w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/05/GettyImages-1235136882-1536x1024.jpg 1536w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/05/GettyImages-1235136882-scaled.jpg 2048w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 820px) 100vw, 820px" /><figcaption class="wp-element-caption">NEW YORK, NY &#8211; SEPTEMBER 8: Motumisi Tawana attends Destinee Ross-Sutton x FREVO x Khari Turner on September 8, 2021 at Frevo in New York City. (Photo by Patrick McMullan/PMC via Getty Images)</figcaption></figure>



You expect consuls to be busy, earnest people.



This holds true for the South African Consul General in New York, Dr Motumisi Tawana. &nbsp;



Taking up his position as South Africa’s Consul General based in New York in January 2020, he moved quickly to consolidate institutional relations with America’s large and authoritative universities, formalize berthing rights and arrangements with airport and ports authorities, and initiate networking into mayors’ offices and city council executive committees.



Importantly, too, he has extended the country’s consular reach: fifteen U.S. east coast states are now covered from South Africa’s New York consul base, with further spread – Kentucky, Tennessee and the Carolinas, among others – in the process of rolling out. &nbsp;



Facilitating trade is a major responsibility of consulates, and Dr Tawana has engaged purposefully with the regions’ many commerce chambers as well as the highest echelons of Wall Street. He also instituted and chairs the New York-based South African Business Advisory Council.



Beyond the political and social responsibilities of his office, Dr Tawana is also an expert in navigating the complexities of international trade between Africa and the U.S., and is a sought-after speaker on diplomatic and trade relations, and doing business on the African continent.



As a 24-year veteran of South Africa’s Department of International Relations and Cooperation, few can match his knowledge of how bureaucracies function and how to pinpoint the right people to get things done.



New frontiers



Now three years into his role, Dr Tawana has also been busy on an unusual front: he has founded, and is immersed in running the country’s first mission-abroad South African Cultural Center.



Opened to coincide with South Africa’s important national holiday, Heritage Day, in September 2021, the Center’s inaugural exhibition was <a href="https://podcasts.apple.com/ie/podcast/zakes-mdas-washboards-and-mirrors-at-the-south/id1441895671?i=1000539042151">Washboards and Mirrors, the Collages of Zakes Mda</a>, a stunning collection of artworks by a polymath creative mind perhaps better known for his literary works.



Culture as a catalyst for diplomacy



The mission of the Cultural Center is to ensure South Africa’s story is told in a positive, favourable light through arts and culture.



Of course, to an extent this is an adoption of soft power, part of the realpolitik game, in the same way that, many centuries ago, the great European powers exported their cultural ideas as a forerunner or complement to deep diplomacy and geostrategic manoeuvring. And in recent decades, the concept of cultural centers has worked positively for early adopters such as Japan.



“I like to think about how we can build bridges, and culture is the key to connections,” he says. “Of course the creative industries must be developed. They represent employment, jobs and economic activity. ‘’



Currently, visitors seeking consular assistance are often wowed by the permanent exhibition of some 2000 records in all eleven of South Africa’s official languages, and going back as far as 1901. Collated and arranged by well-known <a href="https://www.siemonallen.org/about.html">South African installation artist Siemon Allen</a>, ‘From Pretoria to Tshwane’ is a comprehensive tribute to South Africa’s musicians.



Dr Tawana clearly relishes the extra role and responsibility of unofficial cultural affairs attaché. “I’m now proud to be called ‘Consul General and Cultural Worker’!”



However, as yet the center doesn’t have a full-time cultural affairs officer or staff, and – although there is space to exhibit – the expertise and logistics of curatorship can be a strain on the consulate’s resources. This contrasts with the likes of Mexico, The Philippines, Germany, among other consulates in New York, which have dedicated personnel for their own Cultural Centers or to handle cultural issues.



“And we are decades behind South Korea, and Japan in particular, who have established magnificent, drawcard culture centers,” Dr Tawana adds, with an eye on the future.



The future vision for the Cultural Center



Dr Tawana says the feedback has been enormously positive, confirming that the Cultural Center has been long overdue. New York is the first, but Dr Tawana’s vision includes a spread across the world – a dynamic cultural outreach to buffer the work of embassies and to reinforce the image of South Africa as a progressive and opportunity infested land. Institutionalizing the centre will liberate fundraising opportunities and make it less dependent on consular resources, thereby allowing for more frequent exhibitions and activities – always, though, with the core mission of showcasing the arts and culture of South Africa and its investment opportunities.

Destinee Ross-Sutton x FREVO x Khari Turner

South Africa’s New York Consul General is promoting trade – through culture

<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="820" height="461" src="https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/05/image2-820x461.jpg" alt="" class="wp-image-424729" srcset="https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/05/image2-820x461.jpg 820w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/05/image2-300x169.jpg 300w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/05/image2-160x90.jpg 160w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/05/image2-768x432.jpg 768w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/05/image2.jpg 1200w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 820px) 100vw, 820px" /></figure>



How African countries can join forces with an emerging Global South partner



To maintain resilience as a new multipolar world emerges, countries must adapt their foreign relations strategies to manage political and economic risk. Colombia, a country traditionally focused on its ties with the United States, Europe, and Latin American neighbors, is now turning its attention towards Africa. After a 26-year hiatus, the country has announced that a high-level delegation of some 60 representatives will be visiting South Africa, Kenya, and Ethiopia on Friday. The delegation, representing both public and private sectors, will be led by Colombia’s first Vice President of African descent, Her Excellency Francia Márquez, as part of the country’s 2022-2026 Africa Strategy. The 8-day visit not only reflects a strategic diplomatic shift for Colombia but also an opportunity to leverage the unique contributions of its Afro-Colombian population in fostering stronger relations with African countries.



With an economy similar in size to South Africa, Colombia has emerged from a decades-long armed conflict to becoming a dominant player in trade in the Western Hemisphere. Thanks to its strategic location, the country acts as a bridge between North and South American countries, joining Mexico, Chile, and Peru as part of the <a href="https://alianzapacifico.net/en/what-is-the-pacific-alliance/">Pacific Alliance</a>—a Latin American trade bloc with a combined population of 230 million people that makes up approximately 38 percent of Latin American and the Caribbean’s GDP.



<h2 class="wp-block-heading" id="h-colombia-reimagines-its-foreign-policy-leveraging-the-african-diaspora-as-diplomatic-change-agents">Colombia reimagines its foreign policy, leveraging the African diaspora as diplomatic change agents</h2>



After a historic 2022 election in which Colombia transitioned to a popular government led by President Gustavo Petro and Vice President Márquez, the political will for genuine engagement with Africa has never been more lucid than in Petro’s very own presidential inauguration speech, in which he emphasised:



<blockquote class="wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow">
“We will seek greater alliances with Africa, where we originate from; we will seek an alliance of Afro-descendant communities in the Americas.”
<cite>&#8211; President Gustavo Petro</cite></blockquote>



During her election campaign, Márquez also expressed the African idea of ubuntu under the banner of “Soy porque somos” (“I am because we are”) to promote solidarity between communities. When the Nigerian economist Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala, Director General of the World Trade Organization (WTO), <a href="https://www.plenglish.com/news/2023/02/20/wto-director-makes-official-visit-to-colombia/">visited Colombia</a> in February on a work agenda to find alternatives to strengthen the economy, she discussed with Márquez a vision of for the country&#8217;s relationship with Africa.



Today, Colombia boasts the second largest population of African descent in Latin America after Brazil. According to the latest census data, Colombians of African descent constitute around 10% of the country’s population—a figure highly contested by <a href="https://www.okayafrica.com/afro-colombians-demand-to-be-counted-in-census/">civil society organizations</a> who believe it to be a vast undercount equivalent to “statistical genocide” in a country where historical estimates put the figure as high as 26% of the population, according to Colombia’s National Plan for the Development of the Afro-Colombian Population. Notwithstanding, this demographic plays a crucial role in bridging the gap between Colombia and Africa; their cultural and historical ties, language skills, and personal exchanges with the African continent make them natural ambassadors for fostering stronger relations. As evidence of this strategy, three renowned Afro-Colombian leaders have already been named as diplomats on the African continent: María del Rosario Mina Rojas, Ambassador to South Africa; Pedro León Cortes Ruiz, in Kenya; and Daniel Garcés Carabalí, in Ghana.



<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Challenges and opportunities for Africa</h2>



Building stronger ties with Colombia will not be without challenges. Colombia lags considerably behind countries like Brazil in trade and political ties with Africa. Colombia&#8217;s trade relationship with Africa in 2022 was still notably small, and no African country <a href="https://wits.worldbank.org/CountrySnapshot/en/COL">ranked</a> among Colombia&#8217;s top 30 trading partners. Linguistic and cultural differences, logistical barriers, as well as a perception issues and unfamiliarity on both sides of the Atlantic may throttle the development of deeper ties in the short term. Moreover, Colombia must balance its relationships with traditional partners while pursuing new alliances, ensuring that it does not alienate its long-standing allies in the process.



Despite these challenges, African countries should maximise the opportunities for cooperation with Colombia as a function of their national interests. For African countries, partnering with Colombia can provide access to Latin American markets, expertise in areas such as infrastructure development, agriculture, tourism, and knowledge transfer. For Colombia, increased trade opportunities, knowledge exchange, and collaboration on global issues like climate change and security can help diversify its economy and reduce dependence on traditional partners.



Countries such as Rwanda, have important experiences to share on improving gender equality and innovative post-conflict economic transformation. Meanwhile, Kenya can build a common voice with Colombia on environmental issues with its recent rise in <a href="https://www.ifaw.org/international/people/opinions/kenya-climate-change-discussions-africa">leading climate change</a> discussions across Africa. Kenya and Colombia are also well-positioned to design and implement innovative solutions to mitigate climate risks that can serve as a model for the rest of the world. At the moment, the only direct flight connections between South America and Africa were via Angola or Ethiopia. Ethiopia’s national carrier, Ethiopian Airlines, could provide a new route to Colombia to help improve connectivity, tourism, and business travel. Beyond increased market access for its products and services, South Africa can share experiences about its reconciliation processes and provide technical assistance in different areas of strength such as: infrastructure, research and development, as well cooperation in areas such as education, culture and the arts.



From an African Union perspective, Agenda 2063&#8217;s <a href="https://au.int/en/agenda2063/goals">seven key aspirations</a> align harmoniously with the Colombian administration’s current focus on peace, security, equality, and environmental protection. The AU also recognises the important role of the African diaspora, officially designated as the Sixth Region of Africa, in the development of the continent. This provides an opportunity to mobilise the Spanish-speaking diaspora to actively participate in the development of Africa, by creating platforms for dialogue, exchange, and skills transfer. Engagement with Colombia also provides an opportunity to advocate for the rights of its Afro-Colombian population, by addressing issues such as racism, discrimination, as well as their historical economic and social exclusion.



In these unprecedented times of pandemic, climate change, supply chain, and monetary risks, the need to reinvigorate South-South cooperation has never been more pronounced. As our continent and other Global South countries such Colombia seek to overcome the final remnants of colonialism and exploitation, now is the right time for African leaders to seek genuine partners. It is only by leveraging our joint strengths and aspirations that we can effectively face the challenges of the 21st century.



—



Recognised as the Global Top 100 Most Influential People of African Descent (MIPAD) Under 40 and the African Travel Top 100 Global Tourism Personalities in 2019, Fabien Anthony is an accomplished tech entrepreneur, special advisor on international cooperation, and current Chairman of the Pan-African Council, a global leadership and strategic development organisation dedicated to the advancement of Africa and her Diaspora.

image2

Colombia’s Pivot to Africa: shifting the paradigm in a multipolar world

<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="820" height="216" src="https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/05/ssa-country-focus-820x216.jpg" alt="" class="wp-image-424541" srcset="https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/05/ssa-country-focus-820x216.jpg 820w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/05/ssa-country-focus-300x79.jpg 300w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/05/ssa-country-focus-160x42.jpg 160w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/05/ssa-country-focus-768x202.jpg 768w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/05/ssa-country-focus-1536x405.jpg 1536w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/05/ssa-country-focus-scaled.jpg 2048w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 820px) 100vw, 820px" /></figure>



Countries will need to build resilience to manage the inevitable shifts in trade and foreign direct investment



<a href="https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/REO/SSA/Issues/2023/04/14/regional-economic-outlook-for-sub-saharan-africa-april-2023">Sub-Saharan Africa</a>&nbsp;could stand to lose the most if the world were split into two isolated trading blocs centered around China or the United States and the European Union. In this severe scenario, sub-Saharan African economies could experience a permanent decline of up to 4 percent of real gross domestic product after 10 years&nbsp;<a href="https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/REO/SSA/Issues/2023/04/14/regional-economic-outlook-for-sub-saharan-africa-april-2023#Geoeconomic-Fragmentation:-Sub-Saharan-Africa-Caught-between-the-Fault-Lines">according to our estimates</a>—losses larger than what many countries experienced during the Global Financial Crisis.



Economic and trade alliances with new economic partners, predominantly China, have benefited the region but have also made countries reliant on imports of&nbsp;<a href="https://www.imf.org/en/Blogs/Articles/2023/03/28/volatile-commodity-prices-reduce-growth-and-amplify-swings-in-inflation">food and energy</a>&nbsp;more susceptible to global shocks, including disruptions from the surge in trade restrictions following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. If geopolitical tensions were to escalate, countries could be hit by higher import prices or even lose access to key export markets—about half of the region’s value of international trade could be impacted.&nbsp;



The losses could be compounded if capital flows between trade blocs were cut off due to geopolitical tensions. The region could lose an estimated $10 billion of foreign direct investment (FDI) and official development assistance inflows, which is about half a percent of GDP a year (based on an average 2017–19 estimate). The reduction in FDI in the long run could also hinder much-needed technology transfer.



For countries looking to restructure their debt, deepening geoeconomic fragmen­tation could also worsen coordination problems among creditors.



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The region would fare better if only the US/EU cut ties with Russia and sub-Saharan African countries continue to trade freely. In this scenario—termed “<a href="https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/REO/SSA/Issues/2023/04/14/regional-economic-outlook-for-sub-saharan-africa-april-2023#Geoeconomic-Fragmentation:-Sub-Saharan-Africa-Caught-between-the-Fault-Lines">strategic decoupling</a>”—trade flows would be diverted towards the rest of the world, creating opportunities for new partnerships, and possibly boosting intra-regional trade. Because some African countries benefit from access to new export markets and cheaper imports, the region as a whole would not incur a GDP loss. Oil exporters supplying energy to Europe could even gain.



<figure class="wp-block-image"><img decoding="async" src="https://www.imf.org/-/media/Images/IMF/News/Country-Focus/2023/Charts/afr-reo-cf-chart1.ashx?w=1300px" alt=""/></figure>



Building resilience



To better manage shocks, countries need to build resilience. This can be done by strengthening the ongoing regional trade integration under the&nbsp;<a href="https://au-afcfta.org/">African Continental Free Trade Area</a>, which will require reducing tariff and non-tariff trade barriers, strengthening efficiency in customs, leveraging digitalization, and closing the infrastructure gaps. Deepening domestic financial markets can also broaden sources of financing and lower the volatility associated with relying too much on foreign inflows.



To take advantage of the potential shifts in trade and FDI flows, countries in the region can try to identify and nurture sectors that may benefit from trade diversion, for example, in energy. Commodity exporters in the region could potentially displace much of Russia’s energy market share in Europe.



Countries can also rely on trade promotion agencies to help identify potential opportunities, build the necessary skills and capacity for exports, and eventually re-orient production to take advantage of new trade flows. Improving the business environment, such as by lowering entry, regulatory, and tax barriers could also help.&nbsp;



What the exact outcomes will be from fragmentation and polarization, and whether these trends will continue are uncertain. What is clear, however, is multilateral institutions will need to continue to facilitate dialogue among nations to promote economic integration and cooperation.

A woman uses a trolley as she shops at a Pick n Pay store

Economic Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa Could Permanently Decline if Geopolitical Tensions Escalate

<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="820" height="547" src="https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/Healthy-and-high-yielding-maize-grown-using-frass-fertilizer-820x547.jpg" alt="" class="wp-image-424483" srcset="https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/Healthy-and-high-yielding-maize-grown-using-frass-fertilizer-820x547.jpg 820w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/Healthy-and-high-yielding-maize-grown-using-frass-fertilizer-300x200.jpg 300w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/Healthy-and-high-yielding-maize-grown-using-frass-fertilizer-135x90.jpg 135w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/Healthy-and-high-yielding-maize-grown-using-frass-fertilizer-768x512.jpg 768w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/Healthy-and-high-yielding-maize-grown-using-frass-fertilizer-1536x1024.jpg 1536w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/Healthy-and-high-yielding-maize-grown-using-frass-fertilizer-scaled.jpg 2048w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 820px) 100vw, 820px" /></figure>



Last month,&nbsp;<a href="https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/mar/12/scientists-warn-of-phosphogeddon-fertiliser-shortages-loom" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">scientists warned</a>&nbsp;of a looming “phosphogeddon.” They worry that the world’s misuse of phosphorous may exacerbate the fertilizer crisis, further disrupting global food production and worsening hunger emergencies in Africa and elsewhere.&nbsp;



There is one small insect whose powers could be harnessed to help avoid “phosphogeddon” and address the fertilizer crisis: the&nbsp;<a href="https://www.rockefellerfoundation.org/case-study/black-soldier-flies-inexpensive-and-sustainable-source-for-animal-feed/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">black soldier fly</a>.&nbsp;It is not a pest or disease vector—the adults can’t even bite. But the larvae are a different story. Their voracious appetites offer the opportunity to recycle bio-waste into organic, high-quality fertilizer, while also contributing to waste management and animal feed.



This could help solve many of the world’s challenges. Fertilizer supplies tightened and prices skyrocketed in the months following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine—tripling in sub-Saharan Africa. This further squeezes the continent’s farmers, many of whom are already coping with drought, while others contend with flooding, and most struggle to grow food in depleted soil.&nbsp;Meanwhile, higher fertilizer prices also push up the price of food, making regular meals unaffordable for millions of people. Over the last year,&nbsp;60 percent of people in East Africa and 40 percent in West Africa faced chronic hunger.



Chemical fertilizers cannot meet the continent’s needs.&nbsp;They have always been too expensive and inappropriately formulated to serve the legions of smallholder farmers in African countries. Today, Africa only accounts&nbsp;<a href="https://www.wto.org/english/news_e/news22_e/igo_14nov22_e.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">for 3-4 percent</a>&nbsp;of global fertilizer use. In addition, synthetic fertilizer use is carbon intensive, contributing significantly to climate change, the biggest threat to African agriculture. Production of ammonia alone—the world’s most-used nitrogen fertilizer—accounts for as much as&nbsp;<a href="https://climate.mit.edu/explainers/fertilizer-and-climate-change" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">1-2 percent of global carbon dioxide emissions</a>.



Africa needs local solutions that can regenerate soil health in the face of climate change—while helping abate it.&nbsp;The black soldier fly could be one such solution. When its larvae feed on waste, they produce a byproduct called frass. It consists of whatever original waste is left over, insect feces, and the larvae’s cast-off skins.&nbsp;While it certainly doesn’t sound appealing to human ears, this organic material is akin to&nbsp;<a href="https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fpls.2021.680312/full" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">a wonder drug</a>&nbsp;for soil.



It can be further treated to give a high-quality, nutrient-rich fertilizer with the ability to improve soil health, boost crop yield and nutritional quality, suppress pests and diseases, and increase farmer profit margins.



Saprophytic insects—those feeding on nonliving organic matter—such as black solder flies take only five weeks to recycle organic waste into high-quality organic fertilizer that has more nutrients than most existing commercial organic and synthetic fertilizers. Studies by the&nbsp;<a href="http://www.icipe.org/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">International Centre for Insect Physiology and Ecology</a>&nbsp;have shown that frass fertilizer can increase the yields of key crops, including maize (7 – 27 percent), tomatoes (22 – 135 percent), and French beans (38 – 50 percent) compared to existing commercial fertilizers.



Frass fertilizer is also less expensive than synthetic fertilizers. It costs US$854 per hectare every season to fertilize with synthetics, but only US$390 per season using frass fertilizer over the same area.&nbsp;Furthermore, frass fertilizer has been found effective in suppressing devastating crop pests such as potato cyst nematodes, root knot nematode, and cabbage and onion root maggots, as well as tomato bacterial wilt disease.



And there is another upside to frass fertilizer: it puts abundant waste to good use. Africa’s bio-waste generation capacity of 125 million tons annually provides sufficient grist for insect farming and frass fertilizer production. Currently, only&nbsp;<a href="https://www.intechopen.com/chapters/68270" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">4 percent of waste</a>&nbsp;in Africa is recycled, compared to 35 percent for Europe.



The time is ripe for private capital investments in African agribusinesses that can increase the production of frass fertilizers.&nbsp;Cutting-edge research is critical to fine tune production and optimization, build capacity, and generate the information necessary for commercialization.



The world needs to embrace the urgency of the fertilizer crisis and think beyond outdated or expensive technologies that are unaffordable to many farmers. Such investments, and enabling government policies, are essential for solutions such as frass fertilizer to take hold, helping producers ensure consistent supply to meet the growing demand.



The world has the tools—and the bugs—to develop sustainable, local solutions that improve soil health and human health, as well as food security and nutrition. When farmers can use these tools in their fields, we can solve many challenges at once, improving African lives and livelihoods in the process.



Dr. Chrysantus Mbi Tanga is a Senior Scientist and the Head of Insects for Food, Feed and Other Uses (INSEFF) Programme at icipe. Betty Kibaara is a Director, Food Initiative at The Rockefeller Foundation, Africa Regional Office.

Healthy-and-high-yielding-maize-grown-using-frass-fertilizer

New insect-composted organic fertilizer could help solve Africa’s soil health and crop yield crises

<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="820" height="648" src="https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/9363412183_a97bfcd52e_k-820x648.jpg" alt="" class="wp-image-424261" srcset="https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/9363412183_a97bfcd52e_k-820x648.jpg 820w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/9363412183_a97bfcd52e_k-300x237.jpg 300w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/9363412183_a97bfcd52e_k-114x90.jpg 114w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/9363412183_a97bfcd52e_k-768x607.jpg 768w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/9363412183_a97bfcd52e_k-1536x1214.jpg 1536w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/9363412183_a97bfcd52e_k.jpg 2048w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 820px) 100vw, 820px" /><figcaption class="wp-element-caption">Photo: via Flickr</figcaption></figure>



In recent decades, the Horn of Africa has increasingly played host to a fierce competition for influence, stemming from geopolitical rivalries in the Middle East. Typically, such dynamics feed fears of destabilization, particularly in a region with such a troubled recent history of violence.&nbsp;



While these struggles for influence have, at times, exacerbated problematic dynamics, for the most part these fears have proved to be exaggerated. For the most part, African governments have managed to extract significant material benefits, while Middle Eastern leaders have not militarized the region to the extent that some thought possible at times of maximum tension. A case could even be made that, far from destabilizing the region, power politics in the Middle East have materially contributed to the region’s stability.



The War on Terror, and later the regional tensions exacerbated by the 2011 Arab Uprisings, were the most important catalyst for increased Middle Eastern engagement in the region.&nbsp;



Somalia, in many ways, has been the most contested area. Qatari involvement in the country dates back to the 2000s, but since then, several Middle Eastern powers have used their wealth to support different candidates. The 2012 and 2017 presidential elections were particularly crucial moments, with Qatar’s preferred candidates victorious both times. The UAE, meanwhile, has secured deals with the breakaway Somali state of Somaliland and the semi-autonomous Somali region of Puntland to establish bases and commercial ports there. Turkey, a regional rival of both Abu Dhabi and Riyadh, has established a base in Somalia and explored the possibility of a naval base in Sudan.&nbsp;



Eritrea has also been seen as a strategically important ally – used for a time by the Iranians to smuggle arms to Gaza. In 2015, Saudi Arabia and the UAE persuaded President Isais Afwerki to abandon ties with Iran, instead joining their coalition against Tehran’s Houthi allies in the Yemen war and allowing Abu Dhabi to use Eritrea’s port of Assab as a military base. As part of this effort to strengthen their military footprint in the region, Riyadh also turned to neighbouring Djibouti, agreeing to build a new Saudi military base there.&nbsp;



Despite this, the much-feared militarization of the region has not, for the most part, come to fruition. While the UAE did use Assab as a base for a while, it later dismantled much of its military presence as it reduced its role in Yemen. Meanwhile, the bases in Somaliland and Puntland have not yet been developed, nor has the Saudi base in Djibouti. Turkey’s Mogadishu base was primarily used for training Somalia’s security forces rather than to house the Turkish military, and the Sudanese naval position never materialized.&nbsp;



This is due in large part to the fact that tensions within the Middle East itself have cooled, with notable rapprochements between the UAE, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and Turkey, alongside the recent improvements in Iran-Saudi ties. The 2022 Somali election, which saw far less external competition than previously and the victory of a candidate with a ‘no enemies’ philosophy, serves as a useful indicator for the decreased level of competition.



This has meant that nations in the horn have been able to reap the rewards of the increased engagement, without suffering the consequences of destabilization. Indeed, this new strategic landscape has opened the door for Arab powers to make proactive contributions to the region’s stability. The UAE has been especially proactive, using diplomacy and strategic investment to grease the wheels of peace. The UAE’s role in brokering the historic 2018 peace agreement between Ethiopia and Eritrea after 18 years of diplomatic deadlock particularly stands out.&nbsp;



Elsewhere Abu Dhabi has also helped improve critical infrastructure, such as the ports of Assab, Bosaso, and Berbera. In the latter case, it further sponsored a new Berbera-Ethiopia highway, alongside the UK, that will allow the port to act as a major new outlet for Addis Ababa’s trade, boosting Somaliland’s economy. Other Middle Eastern states have similarly invested in infrastructure, notably Turkey’s upgrading of Mogadishu’s airport and port while Ankara, alongside Abu Dhabi, Riyadh and Doha have all significantly increased their deployment of aid to the Horn. Meanwhile Turkey and the UAE have joined the US, UK and other western governments in helping to train Somali (and, in the UAE’s case, Somaliland) security forces and coastguards in the twin battles against Jihadism and Piracy.



For the most part, then, leaders in the Horn can see this period of engagement as a success story. Partly, this is due to active efforts to limit the political influence of the Middle East, notably by Eritrea and Ethiopia, but is also down to the significant presence of other global powers in the Horn, notably the US, UK, EU, and China. Moreover, the rapprochements between key Middle Eastern powers have meant that concessions given away by African leaders have not been negatively exploited.&nbsp;



In a rapidly shifting geopolitical landscape, however, the challenge for leaders in the Horn, and in the Middle East, will be whether they can continue this balancing act. Middle Eastern states can clearly contribute to peace, stability, and development in the Horn – but the risks of destabilization should not be ignored.

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Can Middle Eastern powers help stabilize the Horn of Africa?

<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="820" height="234" src="https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/blog-2099x600-weoch3-debt-kim-haughton-imf-photos-51982143308-2fc4aaa497-o-820x234.jpg" alt="" class="wp-image-424142" srcset="https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/blog-2099x600-weoch3-debt-kim-haughton-imf-photos-51982143308-2fc4aaa497-o-820x234.jpg 820w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/blog-2099x600-weoch3-debt-kim-haughton-imf-photos-51982143308-2fc4aaa497-o-300x86.jpg 300w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/blog-2099x600-weoch3-debt-kim-haughton-imf-photos-51982143308-2fc4aaa497-o-160x46.jpg 160w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/blog-2099x600-weoch3-debt-kim-haughton-imf-photos-51982143308-2fc4aaa497-o-768x220.jpg 768w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/blog-2099x600-weoch3-debt-kim-haughton-imf-photos-51982143308-2fc4aaa497-o-1536x439.jpg 1536w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/blog-2099x600-weoch3-debt-kim-haughton-imf-photos-51982143308-2fc4aaa497-o-scaled.jpg 2048w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 820px) 100vw, 820px" /></figure>



Public debt soared to a record during the pandemic, topping global gross domestic product. Now, with government debt still elevated, the rise in interest rates and the strong US dollar are adding to interest costs, in turn weighing on growth and fueling financial stability risks.



With several economies already in debt distress, we explore in an analytical chapter of our latest World Economic Outlook what policies work best to durably reduce public debt ratios (or debt to GDP). 



<figure class="wp-block-image"><a href="https://www.imf.org/en/Blogs/Articles/2023/04/10/how-to-tackle-soaring-public-debt?utm_medium=email&amp;utm_source=govdelivery" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener"><img decoding="async" src="https://content.govdelivery.com/attachments/fancy_images/USIMF/2023/04/7429912/4677676/weo-chapter-3-charts-01_crop.png" alt="weo ch3 chart 1"/></a></figure>



Using two decades of data, we find that an adequately tailored fiscal contraction of about 0.4 percentage point of GDP—the average size in our sample—lowers the debt ratio by 0.7 percentage point in the first year and up to 2.1 percentage points after five years.



But the timing of the adjustment can impact what effect it has. The probability of reducing debt ratios through consolidation improves from the baseline (average) of about half to three-quarters when undertaken during a domestic and global boom or periods during which financial conditions are loose and uncertainty is low.



<figure class="wp-block-image"><a href="https://www.imf.org/en/Blogs/Articles/2023/04/10/how-to-tackle-soaring-public-debt?utm_medium=email&amp;utm_source=govdelivery" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener"><img decoding="async" src="https://content.govdelivery.com/attachments/fancy_images/USIMF/2023/04/7429936/4677677/weo-chapter-3-charts-02_crop.png" alt="weo ch3 chart 2"/></a></figure>



Design also matters. In advanced economies, spending cuts are more likely to lower debt ratios than increasing revenues. Odds of success also improve when fiscal consolidation is reinforced by growth enhancing structural reforms and strong institutional frameworks.



This explains why fiscal consolidation hasn&#8217;t typically reduced debt ratios in the past—the right conditions and accompanying policies weren’t present.



There are important factors for why fiscal consolidation alone didn’t reduce the debt ratio level in about half of the cases: first fiscal consolidation tends to slow GDP growth. Second, exchange rate fluctuations and transfers to state-owned enterprises or contingent liabilities can offset debt reduction efforts. These “below-the-line” operations can increase debt, despite improvements in the primary balance (which would ordinarily drive down debt). Examples include unexpected transfers that the government provided to state-owned enterprises in Mexico (2016), and clearance of payments past due by the government in Greece (2016), which were all recorded as below the line items in the fiscal account.



Debt restructuring



While well-designed fiscal consolidation and growth-friendly structural reforms can help reduce debt ratios, they may not be sufficient for countries in debt distress or facing increased rollover risks. In such cases, debt restructuring—a renegotiation of the terms of a loan—may be necessary.



Restructuring is typically used as a last resort. It’s a complex process that requires the agreement of domestic and foreign creditors and involves burden sharing between different parties (for example, between residents and banks in most domestic restructurings). It can incur significant economic costs and there are reputational risks and coordination challenges.



But when combined with fiscal consolidation, it can significantly reduce debt ratios—on average, up to 8 percentage points or more after 5 years in emerging markets and low-income countries.



Seychelles, for example, had a debt ratio of over 180 percent in 2008, when the global financial crisis hit. After debt restructurings with both official Paris Club and private external creditors that involved a large reduction in face value of debt, this ratio sharply declined to 84 percent in 2010. Prudent fiscal policy combined with high GDP growth helped sustain the reduction in debt ratios.



We also found that it matters how deep the restructuring is. Public debt in Belize remained elevated despite two sequential restructurings, suggesting that even when done early, debt will stay high if the treatment is not deep enough. By contrast, debt ratios in Jamaica were significantly reduced with early and deep restructurings that were executed through an extension of maturity and a reduction in coupon payments rather than a reduction in the face value of debt. Notably, the fiscal space created by the debt service relief from restructuring was saved, as reflected in its strong fiscal consolidation.



<figure class="wp-block-image"><a href="https://www.imf.org/en/Blogs/Articles/2023/04/10/how-to-tackle-soaring-public-debt?utm_medium=email&amp;utm_source=govdelivery" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener"><img decoding="async" src="https://content.govdelivery.com/attachments/fancy_images/USIMF/2023/04/7429938/4677678/weo-chapter-3-charts-03_crop.png" alt="weo ch3 chart 3"/></a></figure>



For countries that can afford a moderate and gradual reduction in debt ratios, it’s best to undertake fiscal consolidation when conditions are favorable, along with policies that include structural reforms aimed at promoting growth. Having strong institutional frameworks can prevent &#8220;below the line&#8221; operations that undermine debt reduction efforts and ensure that countries indeed build buffers and reduce debt during good times.



Countries facing increased funding pressures or already in debt distress may have no viable alternative than a substantial or rapid debt reduction. Fiscal consolidation will likely be needed to regain market confidence and recover macroeconomic stability in these countries. In addition, policymakers should also consider timely debt restructuring. If pursued, the restructuring will need to be deep to reduce debt ratios.



For restructurings to succeed, global policymakers must also promote mechanisms to enhance coordination and confidence among creditors and debtors. The Group of Twenty Common Framework should be improved to bring greater predictability, earlier engagement, a payment standstill, and further clarification on comparability of treatment.

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How to Tackle Soaring Public Debt

As we approach the 2030 deadline for the achievement of critical Sustainable Development Goals, including the eradication of hunger and poverty, many opportunities are emerging for Africa to substantially reduce its food insecurity, create well-paying jobs, and promote the economic success of its women and youth, through transformed agricultural and food systems.



Indeed, the reality that the continent’s population is rapidly increasing – to reach 2.4 billion by 2050 – highlights the need for increased and sustainable agricultural production, alongside systems for delivering food around the continent – ultimately leading to food security and gainful employment.



Luckily, Africa has nearly all the natural resources needed to transform its agricultural productivity, including an agile and enlightened youthful population, large portions of arable land, and a climate profile that favors agricultural production when complemented with techniques like soil nutrient replenishment and irrigation.



However, the transformation that we seek will only come forth through dedicated leadership from governments, the private sector, development organizations, scientists, and farmer organizations. These stakeholders are critical in promoting and instituting a favorable policy environment for agriculture sector growth; spurring technology and innovation, and advancing financing and market opportunities.



Thankfully, around Africa, we have numerous participants that are actively driving transformation within their different specializations. For example, in Uganda, previous Africa Food Prize (AFP) winner Dr. Emma Naluyima, is a super-trainer on closed-loop farming, with her 1-acre enterprise serving as a global showcase of profitable and environmentally friendly agriculture. Across the continent, in Senegal, another AFP Laureate Baba Dioum is widely-recognized for his voice in policy development, a voice that has promoted cross-border agricultural trade in West Africa and helped to significantly advance the trade dimension of the Comprehensive Africa Agriculture Development Programme (CAADP).



I also must recognize the outstanding leadership of AGRA President Dr. Agnes Kalibata in the transformation of Africa’s food security and agricultural development, through her previous work as Rwanda’s agriculture minister where she, in a remarkably short time, turned the country into a farming success story. Under her leadership, AGRA has grown into a pioneering institution that is driving the transformation of Africa’s smallholder farmers’ work from a struggle to survive into thriving enterprises. Now at the beginning of its third strategic period, we expect from the institution interventions that increase farmers’ access to modern inputs, technologies and production knowledge; financing, and well-paying markets.



Alongside AGRA, the International Institute of Tropical Agriculture (IITA), and the International Crops Research Institute for the Semi-Arid Tropics (ICRISAT), also stand out for their steadfast and inspiring



commitment to a research agenda that aligns with Africa’s traditions, and the evolving needs of African farmers and consumers. There are many more individuals and organizations that are doing exceptional work in driving the change that Africa desires.



It is in recognition of such commitment that the AFP was founded nearly 18 years ago by various food systems partners, including AGRA, and has since feted over 26 deserving laureates from 10 African countries – including Naluyima, Dioum, Dr. Kalibata, IITA and ICRISAT. The US$100,000 award has consistently been issued even through the troublesome years of the COVID-19 pandemic. Its relevance in Africa’s annual awards calendar has been majorly sustained by its stellar administrative and selection panel led, until now, by H.E. Chief Olusegun Obasanjo, the former President of the Federal Republic of Nigeria, a cherished African leader and a well-respected farmer.



H.E. Chief Obasanjo’s stewardship of the African Food Prize for the past seven years, has been nothing short of a meticulous show of exemplary leadership. It is, therefore, with great pride that I accepted to take over from him as the chair of the AFP committee, a gigantic task, but which I am ready for, assured by the support of the exceptional team he bequeathed me. On which note, I invite all food system champions in Africa to join me in wishing the good Chief all the best as he continues leading the continent’s food systems transformation in many other different capacities.



Finally, it is with great pleasure that I now invite applications and nominations for the 2023 prize, which will be issued at Africa’s Food Systems Summit (AGRF) in my home country, Tanzania, in September. I am eager to see the quality of nominations that will make it to the final panel. I am also calling upon everyone in Africa and beyond to keenly engage with the AFP process and to continue emulating its laureates in leading the change required to drive food systems transformation for Africa’s prosperity. AFP nominations page: <a href="https://africafoodprize.org/nominate/">https://africafoodprize.org/nominate/</a>



<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="820" height="547" src="https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/Kikwete-820x547.jpg" alt="" class="wp-image-424076" srcset="https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/Kikwete-820x547.jpg 820w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/Kikwete-300x200.jpg 300w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/Kikwete-135x90.jpg 135w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/Kikwete-768x512.jpg 768w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/Kikwete-1536x1024.jpg 1536w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/Kikwete-scaled.jpg 2048w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 820px) 100vw, 820px" /><figcaption class="wp-element-caption">H.E. Jakaya Mrisho Kikwete is the former President of Tanzania and Chair, Africa Food Prize.</figcaption></figure>

Kikwete

It is important to celebrate Africa’s food systems transformation champions

<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="820" height="234" src="https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/blog-2099x600-fm-ch-2-kim-haughton-imf-photos-52661303026-edffa4d55c-o-820x234.jpg" alt="" class="wp-image-424057" srcset="https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/blog-2099x600-fm-ch-2-kim-haughton-imf-photos-52661303026-edffa4d55c-o-820x234.jpg 820w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/blog-2099x600-fm-ch-2-kim-haughton-imf-photos-52661303026-edffa4d55c-o-300x86.jpg 300w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/blog-2099x600-fm-ch-2-kim-haughton-imf-photos-52661303026-edffa4d55c-o-160x46.jpg 160w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/blog-2099x600-fm-ch-2-kim-haughton-imf-photos-52661303026-edffa4d55c-o-768x220.jpg 768w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/blog-2099x600-fm-ch-2-kim-haughton-imf-photos-52661303026-edffa4d55c-o-1536x439.jpg 1536w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/blog-2099x600-fm-ch-2-kim-haughton-imf-photos-52661303026-edffa4d55c-o-scaled.jpg 2048w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 820px) 100vw, 820px" /><figcaption class="wp-element-caption">Credit: Kim Haughton/IMF Photos</figcaption></figure>



Smart fiscal policy can help restore price stability and lessen the impact of the cost-of-living crisis.



High inflation can impose serious and lasting costs on the economy and people. But the distributive effects of inflation—the way it transfers money from some individuals to others—are complex.



To respond effectively to the sharpest upsurge in inflation in three decades and to address the damage done to households, policymakers should have a better understanding of how inflation affects various segments of society in different places.



In our&nbsp;<a href="https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/FM/Issues/2023/04/03/fiscal-monitor-april-2023?cid=bl-com-spring2023flagships-FMOEA2023001">April 2023 Fiscal Monitor</a>, we study the effects of (unexpected) inflation on people’s well-being from mid-2021 to mid-2022—a period when food and energy prices rose earlier and faster than other prices. The chapter offers several lessons for policymakers on the impact of inflation on households’ budgets and how fiscal policy can help curb inflation while supporting the vulnerable.



Impact on public finances



Analyzing how inflation affects public finances, our main finding is that&nbsp;unexpected&nbsp;inflation—such as in the recent episode—erodes the real value of government debt at the expense of bondholders. For countries with debt exceeding 50 percent of GDP, each percentage point of unexpected (“surprise”) increase in inflation reduces public debt by 0.6 percentage points of GDP, with the effect lasting for several years.<img decoding="async" alt="" src="https://www.imf.org/-/media/Images/IMF/Blog/Articles/Blog-Charts/2023/March/figure-1-v5.ashx">



As inflation becomes persistent and better anticipated, however, it stops contributing to declining debt ratios.



Likewise, deficit-to-GDP ratios initially decline as spending fails to keep pace with the rise in the monetary value of the economy’s output. But such effects fade even quicker.



Impact on households



Based on public surveys of thousands of households in six economies (Colombia, Finland, France, Kenya, Mexico, and Senegal), we find that inflation from mid-2021 to mid-2022 impacted people through three main channels: their consumption patterns; their income from wages, pensions, or transfers; and their assets and liabilities. The below chart displays the estimated effects of these channels to a developing economy (Kenya) and to an advanced economy (France), prior to any new government intervention in support of households. <img decoding="async" alt="" src="https://www.imf.org/-/media/Images/IMF/Blog/Articles/Blog-Charts/2023/March/figure-2-v5.ashx">



Although the impact varies across countries (and across income groups), the surveys reveal that:



<ul class="wp-block-list">
<li>The faster rise in food prices compared to other prices hurt poor families disproportionately because food represents a higher share of their total consumption. This effect was most pronounced in low-income countries. </li>



<li>Inflation eroded real incomes in commodity-importing countries, as wages across all income groups did not keep pace with prices. </li>



<li>As inflation eroded the monetary value of assets and liabilities, families with negative net worth benefitted at the expense of creditors, particularly in countries with developed financial and credit markets. </li>



<li>Redistributive wealth effects of inflation were also influenced by the age of the head of household: young families, which tend to be net borrowers, experienced gains through the wealth channels, whereas old households saw their wealth eroded.</li>
</ul>



Curbing inflation while protecting the vulnerable



Fiscal policy can support monetary policy in dealing with inflation because it also affects aggregate demand. Our statistical evidence suggests that fiscal policy’s impact on inflation has changed over the decades. For advanced economies we find that, since 1985, reducing public expenditure by 1 percentage point of GDP lowers inflation by half a percentage point.



In addition, fiscal policy can also help protect the vulnerable.



<figure class="wp-block-image"><img decoding="async" src="https://www.imf.org/-/media/Images/IMF/Blog/Articles/Blog-Charts/2023/March/figure-3-v5.ashx" alt=""/></figure>



The economic model used in the chapter incorporates inequality in incomes, consumption, and asset holdings. It shows that when central banks act alone—without the support of fiscal policy—they need to hike interest rates substantially to fight inflation. Fiscal tightening makes it possible to increase interest rates by less to contain inflation.



But to safeguard the poor—who benefit more from public services—tax hikes or cuts in lower-priority spending must be combined with larger transfers. This strategy results, by design, in no drop in consumption for the poor, but also in a lower decline in overall consumption.

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Fiscal Policy Can Help Tame Inflation and Protect the Most Vulnerable

<h2 class="wp-block-heading" id="h-south-african-airways-saa-is-poised-for-growth">South African Airways (SAA) is poised for growth </h2>



It has now been nearly two years since SAA emerged from its business rescue process in 2021, a process that led to an extensive restructuring in all key areas of the business. This reorganisation and subsequent changes are beginning to bear fruit.&nbsp;



After emerging from the business rescue process, SAA resumed flights in September of the same year, beginning with just three routes (which grew to ten routes by the end of December last year). SAA has since operated nearly 9,000 commercial flights, delivering more than 1.2 million seats.&nbsp;



The one key point that stands out is customer affinity to our brand, SAA is a strong brand across the globe and our presence was missed. We do not take for granted the return of our customers and the SAA team is committed to providing the customer experience attached to our national carrier status, SAA is truly the spirit of our nation.&nbsp;



It may certainly be difficult for those outside the airline to see just how dramatically SAA has shifted. I am saying this cognisant of various analyses and views, most of which are highly negative. But, from where I am sitting, SAA is well poised for survival and growth in the medium term.&nbsp;



<h2 class="wp-block-heading">We are not talking about the same airline</h2>



Are we the same airline that we were before we went into business rescue in December 2019? No. Not in terms of the size of our fleet, our route, or our staff complement. And in many ways, that is a good thing.



SAA the airline now has a staff complement of approximately 1,000 people &#8211; a fraction of the pre-business rescue staff size. We have seven aircraft, and since December, we now operate ten routes, excluding the destinations we reach through our codeshare agreements.&nbsp;



The massive, unwieldy giant has been replaced with a smaller airline that expands cautiously. In a departure from the SAA of the past, every new route is considered carefully to ensure profitability and long-term sustainability.



<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Our finances tell a promising story of recovery</h2>



Our financial performance has improved significantly and the third quarter financial results of SAA the airline were positive. It is important to note that SAA is a group of companies, the different companies’ results are consolidated and were marginally negative at the end of quarter 3, while the airline entity results were positive. There appears to be confusion in terms of whether SAA has posted positive results or not, the question is which SAA we are talking about.&nbsp;



It is an important milestone to achieve positive results, considering the airline had posted significant losses for several years and was the very entity that was placed in business rescue, nearly leading to the collapse of the entire airline group.&nbsp;



The airline business is capital intensive and it is important that it generates cash on an ongoing basis to fund working capital and capex. This aspect remains a balancing act, but we are glad that in the 2023 Budget Speech, Finance Minister, Enoch Godongwana announced R1bn allocation for SAA. Of course, this will be used to cover outstanding business rescue-related liabilities, specifically those relating to the final dividend payment to creditors and the refund of legacy un-flown tickets to affected passengers &#8211; which date back to the period when SAA was placed in business rescue in December 2019. The airline will continue to negotiate with National Treasury for the balance of the funds and ensure the airline meets all the conditions that may need to accompany the flow of these funds.



As with many airlines, at SAA we plan to increase our fleet size as we pursue growth and return to destinations we once serviced and/or new destinations.&nbsp; The growth in fleet and routes will contribute to the improvement of the bottom line as any increase in flying activities will enable offsetting the existing already optimised overhead structure without overly increasing the costs.&nbsp;



<h2 class="wp-block-heading">SAA is more than just an airline</h2>



Next year, SAA will celebrate 90 years in the sky. That is nearly a century of excellence in aviation, an unparalleled track record, and &#8211; it must be emphasised &#8211; a contribution to growing critical aviation skills on the African continent. Indeed, there are not many pilots and aviation professionals in South Africa, who have not, at some point, worked at SAA.



It is not an understatement to say that SAA has probably contributed to the growth of aviation on the continent more than any other airline &#8211; nurturing a cohort of expert pilots, housing rare skills and connecting places in Africa, that, in some cases, did not enjoy direct air connections before. From connecting governments on diplomatic missions to business engaging to striking game-changing deals, the impact of SAA cannot be underestimated.



This is a role that SAA has always played, and while it has admittedly diminished as we work to rebuild and streamline the airline, it is the space that we will undoubtedly reclaim in years to come.&nbsp;&nbsp;



It is the more intangible, but nevertheless important part of the story when we talk about the meaning of SAA. As we build on the finances and profitably &#8211; let us not forget that in many ways, SAA is more than just an airline.&nbsp;

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Why the ‘new SAA’ can (and will) succeed, writes SAA Interim Chief Financial Officer, Fikile Mhlontlo

<figure class="wp-block-image size-large is-resized"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" src="https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/Wemabank22854-2-1-820x547.jpg" alt="" class="wp-image-424029" width="344" height="229" srcset="https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/Wemabank22854-2-1-820x547.jpg 820w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/Wemabank22854-2-1-300x200.jpg 300w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/Wemabank22854-2-1-135x90.jpg 135w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/Wemabank22854-2-1-768x512.jpg 768w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/Wemabank22854-2-1-1536x1024.jpg 1536w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/Wemabank22854-2-1-scaled.jpg 2048w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 344px) 100vw, 344px" /></figure>



Wema Bank Plc hereby announces Moruf Oseni as the substantive Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer effective April 1, 2023. After serving in acting capacity since January 1, 2023, Oseni will be succeeding Ademola Adebise, following approval by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN).



Oseni&#8217;s journey with Wema Bank began in 2012 when he joined as an Executive Director. Before his appointment as MD/CEO, he served as Deputy Managing Director for the last four years, a role where he demonstrated the capacity to lead the bank to even greater heights as it continues to evolve into a financial powerhouse.



With over 25 years of experience, including more than 16 years at senior to executive management levels, Oseni was the MD/CEO of MG Ineso, a principal investment and financial advisory firm. He had also served as Vice President at Renaissance Capital and was an Associate at Schroder Salomon Smith Barney/Citigroup Global Markets in London.



Oseni&#8217;s credentials speak for themselves, with an MBA from the Institut European d&#8217;Administration des Affaires (INSEAD) in France, a Master&#8217;s in Finance (MIF) from the London Business School, and a B.Sc. in Computer Engineering from Obafemi Awolowo University (OAU). He is also an alumnus of the Advanced Management Program (AMP) of the Harvard Business School and King&#8217;s College, Lagos.



In addition to Oseni&#8217;s appointment, the CBN also approved the appointments of Wole Akinleye as Deputy Managing Director, and Tunde Mabawonku as Executive Director. Wole Akinleye previously served as the Executive Director in charge of Corporate Banking and the South-West Business, while Tunde Mabawonku served as the Bank’s Chief Finance Officer. The Board is confident that these new appointments will be crucial to the continued transformation and growth of the Bank as it positions itself as a market leader in Nigeria&#8217;s banking industry through technology and innovation.



All appointments are effective from April 1, 2023.

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Moruf Oseni takes over as the MD/CEO of Wema Bank Plc

<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="820" height="501" src="https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/responsive_big_webp_HA0pAukoNhwQcuviOByNoEWkBu64vKAsuSGywInipKA-820x501.webp" alt="" class="wp-image-423986" srcset="https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/responsive_big_webp_HA0pAukoNhwQcuviOByNoEWkBu64vKAsuSGywInipKA-820x501.webp 820w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/responsive_big_webp_HA0pAukoNhwQcuviOByNoEWkBu64vKAsuSGywInipKA-300x183.webp 300w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/responsive_big_webp_HA0pAukoNhwQcuviOByNoEWkBu64vKAsuSGywInipKA-147x90.webp 147w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/responsive_big_webp_HA0pAukoNhwQcuviOByNoEWkBu64vKAsuSGywInipKA-768x469.webp 768w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/responsive_big_webp_HA0pAukoNhwQcuviOByNoEWkBu64vKAsuSGywInipKA-1536x939.webp 1536w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/responsive_big_webp_HA0pAukoNhwQcuviOByNoEWkBu64vKAsuSGywInipKA.webp 1600w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 820px) 100vw, 820px" /><figcaption class="wp-element-caption">250 Chief Strategy Officers from 20 industries recently shared vital emerging inflexion points. Image: Getty Images/iStockphoto</figcaption></figure>



Disruptions and developments that suddenly affect us often brew on the periphery, or under the surface, well before they break through. These inflexion points – the moment when those trends break through – cause business assumptions to change. They are high impact shifts; as described by Andy Grove, they will “push you to make fundamental change in your business strategy. Nothing less is sufficient”.



The good thing about inflexion points is that that they can be anticipated before they emerge. To do this, we must increase our ability to “see around corners”. This can be done by “getting out of the building”; by getting in direct contact with our broader environment and including different perspectives. What might be foreign and invisible from where I sit could be very present from where someone else is. What might be at the edge or the periphery for my organization might be at the core for another in a different sector.



<h2 class="wp-block-heading" id="h-inflexion-points-for-chief-strategy-officers">Inflexion points for Chief Strategy Officers</h2>



Last week, more than 250 Chief Strategy Officers from more than 20 industries got out of their building. Some of them joined us for a cross-industry horizon scan in which they explored, prioritized and shared perspectives on what they believe might be some of the emerging signals that are currently brewing at the edge and could potentially break through as inflexion points over the next three to five years. Here are some of the key elements that were discussed:



<h3 class="wp-block-heading" id="h-1-new-hubs-new-corridors">1. New hubs, new corridors</h3>



There is an increasing focus on how countries are becoming more insular. The major US-China corridor is contracting, and COVID has led to a more widespread deceleration of globalization – or even deglobalization.



However, what we see under the surface when following movement of capital, goods and people paints a different picture. While this is yet to fully materialize, we observe the emergence of new corridors that are yet to consolidate but that might soon overtake the major ones we know today. This could point to more globalization rather than less.



What is key here is the need to understand better how new patterns are emerging. While value chains have evolved gradually in the past, new forces are emerging that could shape and accelerate their evolution, including semiconductors, pharmaceuticals or the energy transition, creating a new set of interdependencies.



<h3 class="wp-block-heading" id="h-2-understanding-the-green-economy">2. Understanding the green economy</h3>



While most are rightly focused on the mechanics of the transition to low-carbon energy systems, Strategy Officers highlighted an underappreciation of the impact that it will have in redefining current economic and geopolitical dynamics. The transition will create new winners and losers within and across countries.



A new economy of raw materials, such as lithium, nickel, cobalt, manganese and graphite, will emerge. In a scenario that achieves the Paris Agreement goals, the total demand for those materials would rise significantly by “over 40% for copper and rare earth elements, 60-70% for nickel and cobalt, and almost 90% for lithium”. Electric vehicle and battery storage have already overtaken consumer electronics as the largest consumer of lithium. There is a need for a better understanding and appreciation of where these new strategic resources are, who owns them and what this will mean.



<h3 class="wp-block-heading">3. The Great Unretirement</h3>



Workforce and talent are omnipresent in every discussion – whether it is about hybrid work, or about skills and reskilling. But one of the most underappreciated trends concerned employees who are over 50 years old and how they will affect labour markets over the next few years.



By 2031, we could expect a mass retirement of the baby boomers (people born between 1946 and 1964), who will by then have reached the age of 67. This is expected to <a href="https://www.bls.gov/opub/mlr/2022/article/projections-overview-and-highlights-2021-31.htm">drive a decline</a> in the labour force participation rate until 2031. There are, however, mixed signals within this broader trend. For instance, while many older workers left the workforce during the pandemic, the waning of COVID-19 and the skyrocketing cost of living are reversing this trend. Some even talk about a “Great Unretirement”, highlighting how workers over 50 are returning to paid employment across advanced economies.



These still seem to be taking companies by surprise. There is a need to think more seriously about that age group to avoid talent shortages, and a significant loss of knowledge and experience within the workforce. The OECD estimates that the development of a multigenerational workforce and better opportunities for older employees could drive an increase of 19% of GDP per capita over the next 30 years.



<h3 class="wp-block-heading">4. From owning data to data-sharing</h3>



For several decades, businesses across industries have relied on proprietary data to gain a competitive edge. The growing prevalence of cloud computing, the internet of things (IoT) and other technological advancements are steering this trend in the opposite direction of collaborative data-sharing.



But most companies are yet to realize the potential of shared data and its ability to unlock new opportunities. Gartner predicts that organizations that promote-data sharing will outperform their competitors on most business value metrics. The same research highlights that “Data and analytics leaders who share data externally generate three times more measurable economic benefit than those who do not”. Companies that embrace shared data stand to benefit from increased collaboration, improved efficiency, and the ability to tap into a broader pool of expertise. Those that cling to proprietary data risk being left behind as their competitors forge ahead with innovative solutions.



<h3 class="wp-block-heading">5. Beyond the hype of exponential AI</h3>



As usually happens with technology, artificial intelligence has followed the pattern of going from hype to disillusionment. Mainstreaming terms such as “generative AI”, ChatGPT’s success is the latest to reignite debates about the future of the technology.



There is now a common agreement that “smart machines, bots and systems powered mostly by machine learning and artificial intelligence will quickly increase in speed and sophistication between now and 2035”. A recent Gartner study highlights that by 2025, 30% of outbound marketing messages from large organizations will be synthetically generated, up from less than 2% in 2022. By 2030, a major blockbuster film could be released with 90% of the film generated by AI.



If the recent frenzy triggered by ChatGPT should teach us something, it is the need to focus on the following more prominently. Firstly, generative AI should be approached as a general-purpose technology, meaning that is has the potential to affect and alter our economy and society. Past general-purpose technologies include the steam engine or electricity. Secondly, while ChatGPT has focused a lot of our attention recently, it represents only one of the many applications of generative AI, which could also include drug design, development of new materials, synthetic data etc. Finally, there is a need to safely and ethically experiment and develop new use cases for this technology, as a vital way of informing the development of our approach and governance moving forward.



<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Corporate change agents</h2>



Seeing an inflexion point coming is only the beginning of the journey. The next steps include defining strategic options about what your organization will do about them and finally your ability to bring your organization with you in the implementation of the change required. Remember, that these inflexion points have high level of impact and will likely require more than small tweaks to your strategy, but rather a significant and deep rethinking.



Building on this, one of the key elements that came out of the discussion with Strategy Officers was about the evolution of their role, which includes the need to develop a deep and specialized understanding of an increasingly broad range of areas. Strategy Officers are no longer experts in a given industry, but have to become proficient in sustainability, talent, AI, quantum computing, or anything else that might be required. In addition, while their ability to scan and see around corners is key, they increasingly need to act as internal translators on those topics, as integrator and change agent in the company.

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Industry strategy: 5 potential inflexion points on the radar of Chief Strategy Officers

Water underpins all life forms, and the water situation in Africa is diverse. Within a country or region, the situation can shift from water scarcity to abundance. This necessitates tailored measures to protect sources of water from— water catchments, lakes, rivers, streams, or wetlands— without disrupting the natural systems and livelihoods that depend on it.



Across the continent, there is an urgent need to conserve freshwater ecosystems to safeguard the important services that they play in supporting communities as a source of water for domestic use and agriculture, as well as supporting livelihoods through fishing and the use of water for energy production, whether hydropower or cooling. This is in addition to being home to 12 percent of the Earth’s known species, including mammals, birds, fish, insects, and plants—a richer diversity of life forms per unit area, compared to land and oceans.



However, these healthy freshwater ecosystems and their sources are dwindling, as water flows and levels are receding. The continent, and indeed the whole world, is staring at a crisis that is both about water scarcity and loss of biodiversity. This is due to multiple threats facing freshwater ecosystems, including climate change; invasive species, such as water hyacinth; and overdependence, as well as direct degradation, from farming, industry, and pollution. These risks need to be addressed to maintain water’s many benefits to African people and the planet. It is just as urgent to conserve its rich biodiversity with the continent’s population projected to double by 2050, exerting more pressure on natural resources.



Unfortunately, when it comes to protection, freshwater systems have historically not received as much attention as land and oceans, a trend that is starting to be reversed. Leading with science, The Nature Conservancy (TNC) is bringing together governments, communities, NGOs, and private sector, to help protect and restore these sources of life that we depend on.



Solutions to protect these water sources must be long-lasting and tailored to an area&#8217;s unique features. For instance, different approaches would be needed for the wet Congo Basin covering nine countries, and the expansive Okavango, the world largest inland freshwater delta, whose terminal basin never reaches the sea and almost all its water is from Angola. Besides, because it is expensive to move water from one place to another, it calls for locally applied solutions that also consider the prevailing circumstances and do not disrupt economic activity.



Development and the environment can co-exist, with neither suffering at the expense of the other. TNC has been at the forefront in championing replicable, nature-based, public-private approaches across the continent with a track record of success. This is transforming <a href="https://www.nature.org/en-us/what-we-do/our-insights/perspectives/gabon-30-30-leading-conservation/">Gabon</a> into a model for smart development, applying conservation science in freshwater and hydropower planning to support its green ambition; and using a web-based freshwater conservation blueprint tool to evaluate development scenarios for ones that benefit people and nature the most while minimizing harm. In the <a href="https://www.nature.org/en-us/about-us/where-we-work/africa/stories-in-africa/protect-freshwater/?vu=africawater">Lake Tanganyika</a> basin that covers Tanzania, Zambia, Burundi, and the Democratic Republic of the Congo, it is about rapidly scaling fisheries co-management best practices, combining ground-breaking science, local knowledge, and proven methods. In the <a href="https://www.nature.org/en-us/magazine/magazine-articles/okavango-delta-african-oasis/">Okavango Basin</a>, this has taken a multi-pronged approach that proactively bundles conservation efforts with smart development and sustainable financing to maximise positive economic, social, and environmental benefits, while forestalling risks and mitigating unavoidable impacts. And in Kenya, the Upper Tana-Nairobi Water Fund has inspired cities across the continent to set up programs that work with communities to protect watersheds for the benefit of upstream and downstream users. Africa needs more initiatives like these.



To accelerate the pace and scale of conserving freshwater ecosystems, significantly more investment is needed. Different actors, from government and development finance institutions to non-profits and communities, also need to work together to arrive at low cost, high impact and replicable solutions. Local communities must be an integral part of such efforts, as stewards and holders of knowledge and rights, leaning on their traditional approaches while protecting their social, cultural, and economic interests.



To sustain our rivers and lakes for the incalculable benefits to people and planet, we must all coordinate and collaborate our conservation actions, including those for cross-border rivers and lakes. It is time for the world to work together in implementing the goals for protecting and restoring freshwater sources, while avoiding risks, for the benefit of generations to come.



<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="820" height="697" src="https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/11/Ademola-Ajagbe-2-820x697.jpg" alt="" class="wp-image-421601" srcset="https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/11/Ademola-Ajagbe-2-820x697.jpg 820w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/11/Ademola-Ajagbe-2-300x255.jpg 300w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/11/Ademola-Ajagbe-2-106x90.jpg 106w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/11/Ademola-Ajagbe-2-768x653.jpg 768w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/11/Ademola-Ajagbe-2-1536x1305.jpg 1536w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/11/Ademola-Ajagbe-2-scaled.jpg 2048w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 820px) 100vw, 820px" /><figcaption class="wp-element-caption">Ademola Ajagbe is the Regional Managing Director, Africa at The Nature Conservancy</figcaption></figure>

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Tailored protection of lakes and rivers must benefit communities

<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="820" height="750" src="https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/Jehaan-Anthony-2-820x750.jpg" alt="" class="wp-image-423901" srcset="https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/Jehaan-Anthony-2-820x750.jpg 820w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/Jehaan-Anthony-2-300x275.jpg 300w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/Jehaan-Anthony-2-98x90.jpg 98w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/Jehaan-Anthony-2-768x703.jpg 768w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/Jehaan-Anthony-2-1536x1406.jpg 1536w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/Jehaan-Anthony-2-scaled.jpg 2048w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 820px) 100vw, 820px" /><figcaption class="wp-element-caption">Jehaan Anthony, Nedbank Commercial Banking Area Client Manager: Cape Town Western Suburbs</figcaption></figure>



Climate risk is our reality, and we need to understand that our actions today will shape the future of business and society.



Economists have warned of the potential economic costs of damage from climate-related disasters and extreme weather could be staggering. In 2018 the US alone incurred a loss of around $160 billion due to such disasters, and these numbers are only expected to increase as hazards become more complex and unpredictable.



In Africa, the energy crisis coincides with the dual threat of climate change, which is driving the imperative for renewables, not only to plug energy gaps but also to deliver power to drive sustainable economic growth as the continent has seen a rapid escalation of<a href="https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2021/10/west-and-central-africa-climate-migrants/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">&nbsp;extreme weather events</a>&nbsp;such as tropical cyclones, severe droughts, wildfires and floods. Already, climate change in Africa has caused an estimated&nbsp;<a href="https://www.dw.com/en/africa-and-climate-change-conference/a-59641178" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">$38 billion</a>&nbsp;in damage in two decades. Adding to this is a heavy reliance on fossil fuels – South Africa, which relies on coal for&nbsp;<a href="https://www.institutmontaigne.org/en/blog/too-cool-coal-future-south-africas-energy" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">80% of its power</a>, is also said to be warming twice as fast than the rest of the world.&nbsp;&nbsp;



Rolling power outages are red-flagged as a high-risk scenario that’s expected to continue until at least April 2023 and probably a lot longer. In June last year, President Cyril Ramaphosa raised the<a href="https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2021-06-10-increase-to-100mw-embedded-generation-threshold-will-give-oomph-to-south-african-economy-says-ramaphosa/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">&nbsp;licensing threshold</a>&nbsp;for self-generation power to 100 MW, with an option to sell into the grid, which will allow residential estates, shopping centres, mines, factories and other providers to not only generate their own electricity but also to power nearby communities and help support economic recovery. This will help reduce dependency on Eskom and the government, and the first power-generation project in the private market has recently been approved by the National Energy Regulator of South Africa.



As the green bank, which has been on a sustainability journey for some years, Nedbank has fine-tuned our solutions for the market and offers specialised finance structures such as longer payback periods, structured repayments around the savings that the infrastructure provides, and offtake deals where the user does not own the equipment.



That said, going green encompasses far more than turning to renewable energy, and our first recommendation is to find ways to operate more efficiently before investing in costly systems.



There are always ways to use electricity more efficiently, reduce water use in operations, recycle water wherever possible and process waste in a more resourceful manner.&nbsp;



Understand what your goal is. If you are planning to go off the grid, understand the size of the inverter (how much power you are going to need) and then build your system by buying components and adding more as and when required or as budget allows.



While it is inescapable that there is a&nbsp;need for urgent action to mitigate the risks associated with climate change, as failure to act now could result in huge financial losses and irreversible damage to the planet, businesses must take the lead in the fight against climate change by adopting sustainable practices and reducing their carbon footprint.



That is why funding solutions become an integral part of the solution. Nedbank Commercial Banking, for example, offers term debt funding for its commercial and agriculture clients. This provides for funding of capital expenditure to expand public access to safe and affordable drinking water, provide access to adequate sanitation facilities, improve water quality to be fit for human consumption, and increase water use efficiency through water recycling, treatment and reuses.



In short, this solves for rising water costs, mitigates against water interruptions due to drought, water scarcity or failing infrastructure prevents unnecessary or preventable wastage and avoids business downtime.



Another is funding provided for construction, maintenance, manufacture and other components for clean energy to generate or transmit energy that would include wind, solar, hydro, biomass and geothermal power, or funding of energy efficiency initiatives that include energy-efficient technologies in new and refurbished buildings, energy storage, district heating, smart grids and appliance products.



The benefits are that this would enable businesses to generate sufficient energy for their own use, thereby mitigating the impact of rising energy costs, minimising the impact of power interruptions, and ensuring income generation capacity for the company and employees during power cuts. Both options could take the form of an extended repayment term of up to 10 years, considering the savings when calculating cash flow or affordability, competitive pricing and direct ownership versus third-party ownership.



Nedbank Commercial Banking also provides term debt funding for commercial and agriculture clients to invest in environmentally sound technologies and processes that promote the recycling of post-consumer products, the upgrading of infrastructure and retrofitting of industries to facilitate increased resource efficiency, substantially reduce waste generation through prevention, reduction, recycling and reuse and promote sustainable agricultural practices. This addresses the rising energy and raw material costs hindering businesses from sustained growth, enabling community upliftment through job creation and the prevention of missed revenue opportunities.



In this regard, structured solutions are tailored to each business, with competitive pricing and off-balance sheet financing.



South Africa is not alone in facing energy and water scarcity challenges – it affects the whole world.&nbsp;Businesses must prioritise awareness around energy challenges and water scarcity in their operations and supply chains to mitigate against climate risks, while ensuring that clients derive value that will ensure that they are on a sustainable path while reducing their carbon footprint.



Jehaan Anthony is Nedbank Commercial Banking Area Client Manager: Cape Town Western Suburbs

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Climate Risk Is Our Reality, and We Need Actions Today to Shape the Future of Business

<figure class="wp-block-image size-full"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="801" height="711" src="https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/Daniel-Padiachy-2.jpg" alt="" class="wp-image-423814" srcset="https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/Daniel-Padiachy-2.jpg 801w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/Daniel-Padiachy-2-300x266.jpg 300w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/Daniel-Padiachy-2-101x90.jpg 101w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/Daniel-Padiachy-2-768x682.jpg 768w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 801px) 100vw, 801px" /><figcaption class="wp-element-caption">Daniel Padiachy, Executive: Supply Chain, Marketing and Technology at McDonald’s South Africa</figcaption></figure>



Collaborations are often born out of synergies and common values between organizations, and this is no different in the partnership between McDonald’s South Africa and FORBES WOMAN AFRICA.



McDonald’s South Africa has ventured into a two-year partnership with FORBES WOMAN AFRICA as a headline sponsor for the FORBES WOMAN AFRICA Leading Women Summit. By forging this alliance, the two organizations, each of which is a pioneer in its own field bringing about significant and positive changes in society, highlight the power of women.



“The partnership between McDonald&#8217;s SA and the FORBES WOMAN AFRICA Leading Women Summit is one that speaks to synergy and the beliefs that both organizations hold when it comes to diversity, equity, inclusion as well as women empowerment. McDonald’s SA believes in platforms that foster dialogue amongst female leaders to cross-weave their knowledge and drive socio-economic change,” says Daniel Padiachy, Executive: Supply Chain, Marketing and Technology at McDonald’s South Africa.



Real change is seen when women from different spheres provide each other a platform where they can learn, bestow knowledge and grow together. The power of women connecting and supporting each other should never be underestimated. Engaging women in leadership positions will champion other women. Thus, creating a safe environment where women can unlock their potential which leads to safe and functional communities.



McDonald’s South Africa has its own Women Leadership Network, a platform that encourages a cross-weaving of knowledge and inspires change among subject matter experts. It also aims to honor women by acknowledging and celebrating their achievements through conversations with phenomenal women in their own spaces of influence. Since its inception in 2021, the McDonald’s South Africa purpose-led initiative has reached over thousands of women across the country.



We have the responsibility and opportunity to bridge the gap and play our part in ensuring that women are offered equal opportunities and thus drive inclusion. We embrace this opportunity to drive meaningful progress, and to do so through our own initiatives as well as through collaborations. We are strongly invested in ensuring a world free of bias, with equal representation and an equal opportunity for women’s voices to be heard.



As big businesses we need to take this seriously and be committed as it allows for an opportunity to engage with women from all walks of life. We believe that we should always walk the talk, and not just talk the talk.



As McDonald’s South Africa, over the past 26 years, we are proud to have had over 65% women in our business; we continuously find ways to enable everyone within our business, not only focusing on women but inclusively bringing men along. The key driver in our business is a constant push against complacency, we strive to uphold transformation and excellence in all our interactions in all aspects of our business be it with our employees, executives or even our suppliers, thus giving us an opportunity to build a brand that lives in the hearts of our people.



Our young generation of women should always be empowered and encouraged to become better leaders who alter the narrative in their spheres, thus creating a bright future for their communities through conversations and action. By providing opportunities for women to succeed and realize their full potential, we hope to continue disrupting the power dynamic and alter the current status quo.

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A Partnership Creating A Platform For Women To Power On

<figure class="wp-block-image size-full"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="672" height="672" src="https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/thumbnail_image0.jpg" alt="" class="wp-image-423789" srcset="https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/thumbnail_image0.jpg 672w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/thumbnail_image0-300x300.jpg 300w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/thumbnail_image0-90x90.jpg 90w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 672px) 100vw, 672px" /><figcaption class="wp-element-caption">Kevin Obiero is Centre Director of Kenya Marine and Fisheries Research Institute, Chair of Board of Directors for African Center for Aquatic Research and Education, and IISD Experimental Lakes Area Board Member</figcaption></figure>



It is with great excitement,&nbsp;mild&nbsp;trepidation,&nbsp;and much hope&nbsp;for&nbsp;the future that I look forward&nbsp;to March 22&nbsp;which doubles up this year as&nbsp;World Water Day and the kick off&nbsp;to&nbsp;the&nbsp;<a href="https://www.unwater.org/news/un-2023-water-conference" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">UN Water Conference.</a>



The first of its kind in&nbsp;almost&nbsp;50 years—&nbsp;it presents a golden opportunity&nbsp;to bring the world together to&nbsp;underscore the significant role of water for the Sustainable Development Goals and for the health and prosperity of people and the planet. We can tackle&nbsp;the&nbsp;plethora&nbsp;of issues&nbsp;threatening&nbsp;our freshwater supplies—a difficult but surmountable feat.&nbsp;



While&nbsp;I’ll&nbsp;be unable to travel to the&nbsp;continent of the Laurentian Great Lakes&nbsp;to speak&nbsp;in person,&nbsp;I’ll&nbsp;be dialed in from the shores of Lake Victoria&nbsp;in Kenya&nbsp;to discuss the future of Africa’s very own suite of Great Lakes at one of the many official&nbsp;dialogues and&nbsp;events&nbsp;dotted around the Big Apple.



Undoubtedly,&nbsp;the conference&nbsp;would not be complete&nbsp;without a comprehensive exploration of&nbsp;all&nbsp;the world’s&nbsp;freshwater supplies.



Not forgetting North America’s&nbsp;Great Lakes basin&nbsp;(a critical resource of&nbsp;drinking water,&nbsp;sustenance&nbsp;and economic support&nbsp;for tens&nbsp;of millions across the continent),&nbsp;Africa’s own suite of&nbsp;Great Lakes&nbsp;spread across&nbsp;Eastern and Southern Africa—to&nbsp;whose protection&nbsp;I have&nbsp;passionately&nbsp;dedicated my professional life—should not be missing from any&nbsp;discussion&nbsp;about the future of freshwater.&nbsp;Holding&nbsp;more than&nbsp;a&nbsp;quarter of the world’s available surface water,&nbsp;those&nbsp;lakes underpin the well-being and livelihoods&nbsp;of over 50 million people.



As the conference’s theme of&nbsp;“accelerating&nbsp;change” so&nbsp;succinctly&nbsp;articulates,&nbsp;bodies of fresh water, from&nbsp;Michigan to Malawi, on which we all so vitally depend are threatened.&nbsp;From&nbsp;<a href="https://www.cleveland.com/open/2022/10/federal-money-to-be-used-to-combat-algal-blooms-on-great-lakes.html" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">unsightly,&nbsp;sticky harmful algal blooms</a>&nbsp;that uninvitedly camp out&nbsp;on&nbsp;the lakes in summer,&nbsp;biodiversity loss,&nbsp;plastic pollution, or new pharmaceutical drugs&nbsp;<a href="https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2022/feb/14/drugs-have-dangerously-polluted-the-worlds-rivers-scientists-warn" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">ending up in freshwater fish</a>,&nbsp;our freshwater lakes&nbsp;aren’t exactly&nbsp;flourishing.&nbsp;



Just last month, I&nbsp;co-chaired&nbsp;<a href="https://www.agl-acare.org/2022annualmeeting" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">a pan-African&nbsp;summit on the African Great Lakes</a>&nbsp;in Dar es Salaam,&nbsp;bringing together&nbsp;hundreds of&nbsp;scientific&nbsp;voices from across the continent&nbsp;all too familiar with the&nbsp;aforementioned threats.



The&nbsp;rallying call among the&nbsp;summit attendees&nbsp;and local communities, as crystalized in many of the commitments that came from it can be neatly summarized:&nbsp;“Less talk,&nbsp;more action”.&nbsp;



What does this look like?&nbsp;And what does it mean for the upcoming UN Water Conference?



Without&nbsp;sustainable&nbsp;funding,&nbsp;Africa will struggle&nbsp;to keep pace with&nbsp;developed countries and&nbsp;attract and retain the next&nbsp;generation of scientists and&nbsp;researchers. For us,&nbsp;to&nbsp;develop a strong next generation of change-makers, we must invest and provide opportunities&nbsp;for&nbsp;early career scientists&nbsp;and&nbsp;remove barriers to entry for women.&nbsp;Even today, women in science are still under-represented at almost every level,&nbsp;particularly&nbsp;in decision-making&nbsp;positions.



In our highly interconnected world, science needs to translate into action and societal impact. When it comes to freshwater science, it means working together—across borders—to define and harmonize research priorities, set standard water sampling techniques and protocols, then digitizing and making available the data generated by those processes, so we can achieve shared goals much more easily.



The support of the international community remains critical, but assistance&nbsp;should not necessarily&nbsp;flow one way.&nbsp;A brighter future is now&nbsp;possible, but only if we are all willing to&nbsp;truly&nbsp;listen and&nbsp;collaborate&nbsp;across silos&nbsp;and continents&nbsp;to&nbsp;achieve&nbsp;<a href="https://sdgs.un.org/2030agenda" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">internationally agreed-upon water-related goals and targets.</a>



Within all the discussions, let’s not forget that conserving freshwater ecosystems starts with local communities as custodians of these resources and that these communities need support. This is a&nbsp;critical&nbsp;and urgent matter for all of us, and it is our collective future that we are seeking to improve and shape.



In this&nbsp;sense, Africa’s Great Lakes&nbsp;harbour valuable lessons for the world.

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UN Water Conference Should Highlight African Great Lakes

<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="751" height="800" src="https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/IMG_0164-751x800.jpg" alt="" class="wp-image-423644" srcset="https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/IMG_0164-751x800.jpg 751w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/IMG_0164-281x300.jpg 281w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/IMG_0164-84x90.jpg 84w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/IMG_0164-768x819.jpg 768w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/IMG_0164-1441x1536.jpg 1441w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/IMG_0164-scaled.jpg 1921w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 751px) 100vw, 751px" /></figure>



By Rabab Fatima, UN Under-Secretary-General and High Representative, UN-OHRLLS and Xiangchen Zhang, Deputy Director-General, WTO



As the world’s least developed countries (LDCs) work to build more resilient economies and lift their populations out of poverty, international trade offers them a proven route towards sustainable development. This is why trade is a key pillar of the <a href="https://www.un.org/ldcportal/tags/doha-programme-action-dpoa">Doha Programme of Action</a> which maps out commitments between LDCs and their development partners for the 2022-2031 decade.



With the LDCs’ share of global trade having stagnated at <a href="https://unctad.org/topic/least-developed-countries/chart-december-2021">less than 1%</a> in recent years, things need to change. Much more can and should be done to help LDCs gain the benefits of trade, which include better quality jobs, stronger economic growth and increased productivity. The Doha Programme of Action sets an ambitious target of doubling this share by 2031.



To gain a deeper understanding of what LDCs could explore to boost their exports, our offices organized regional consultations in Ethiopia and Cambodia. These were arranged in the context of the <a href="https://www.un.org/ldc5/">5th United Nations Conference on LDCs (LDC5)</a>. &nbsp;The consultations were attended by nearly 100 senior trade officials from over 40 LDCs, who discussed their trade challenges and priorities, plus how the development community can best support them in achieving their ambitions.



Here are some <a href="https://www.wto.org/english/tratop_e/devel_e/ldc5_regional_consultations.pdf">key takeaways</a>:



<ol class="wp-block-list" type="1">
<li>Multilateral cooperation can help LDCs tap opportunities in digital trade</li>
</ol>



Digital trade represents a fast-growing opportunity for LDCs to expand their share of global trade on a more equal footing with higher-income countries. For example, selling through digital platforms offers exporters lower-cost access to customers in other countries which would have been difficult otherwise.



Multilateral and regional cooperation could help LDCs grasp this opportunity more effectively and derive more benefits from digital trade, participants argued. For instance, findings from the <a href="https://dti.eui.eu/">Digital Trade Integration Project</a> show that LDCs have fewer policies in place that enable digital trade than do high-income countries. Yet, when LDCs participate in those discussions, they can often access technical assistance that helps them upgrade their policies and regulations to facilitate digital trade.



Such forums also give LDCs the chance to voice concerns and argue for their interests when trade rules or practices that impact them are being negotiated.



<ul class="wp-block-list">
<li>LDCs need targeted and nimble capacity-building support</li>
</ul>



Finding more effective and efficient ways to boost LDCs’ capacity to trade is critical.



LDC participants flagged they need more support from the international community, especially in reducing trading costs, addressing productive capacity constraints, and participating in global supply chains. They also highlighted partner practices that have proven most impactful, including engaging the private sector and facilitating country ownership.



Participants added that future multilateral trade support for LDCs should be more inclusive and fit for purpose. A stronger coordination mechanism, with robust monitoring, learning and evaluation capabilities, is needed to ensure that LDCs’ changing needs and requests are responded to nimbly.



<ul class="wp-block-list">
<li>Regional integration can help LDCs boost their trade and become more resilient</li>
</ul>



Deepening regional integration can help LDCs expand and diversify their exports and strengthen the resilience of their economies.



Full implementation of the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA), for example, could result in a 34% increase in inter-African trade by 2045, according to the UN Economic Commission for Africa. AfCFTA promises to be particularly beneficial for key productive sectors, like agriculture and services, helping reduce African economies’ reliance on energy and mining. This should make LDCs on the continent more resilient against external shocks.&nbsp;



Regional integration is also becoming central to Asian LDCs’ graduation strategies. For example, as well as being a member of the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP), Cambodia recently signed bilateral free trade agreements with China and the Republic of Korea and is currently negotiating another such agreement with the United Arab Emirates.



Another trend is for LDCs in the region to build regional networks via preferential trade arrangements that include digital and sustainable development provisions.



<ul class="wp-block-list">
<li>LDC graduation and transition strategies require further focus</li>
</ul>



As more countries graduate from LDC status, participants expressed concern that some will lose trade preferences related to market access. Although some LDC trading partners already grant LDC graduates a transition period, LDCs want more of their trading partners to extend such preferences. They would also like to continue benefiting from LDC-specific special and differential treatment provisions in the WTO.



A sustainable graduation support facility (iGRAD) designed to support a smooth transition for graduating LDCs was launched at LDC5. With over a third of all LDCs already on track to graduate from LDC status – and the <a href="https://www.un.org/ldcportal/tags/doha-programme-action-dpoa">Doha Programme of Action</a> calling for an additional 15 to be supported to meet the graduation criteria by 2031 – the international community has an urgent responsibility to help them develop comprehensive transition strategies.



The global trading landscape is evolving fast. Trade priorities of tomorrow will not be the same as trade priorities of today. It is high time that LDC policy makers start exploring new frontiers to bring greater opportunities to businesses, to increase income and to raise living standards of one billion living in LDCs.

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A path to prosperity – harnessing trade to deliver for LDCs

Capturing the dividends from women’s economic equity. Too many women are locked out of economic opportunities, which is not only unfair but also harms growth and resilience for all. 



We know that in countries with greater gender inequality just closing the gap in women’s labor force participation could increase economic output by an average of 35 percent. Progress, however, is slow to come and shocks, such as health and climate disasters, social unrest, and war continue to worsen gender inequality by directly affecting women’s lives and livelihoods or keeping them out of school and work.



Appropriate economic and financial policies can help change these negative outcomes, improving economies by supporting the recovery and building resilience against future shocks. A dividend for women, in other words, is a dividend for all. For instance, while the pandemic set women further back everywhere, it also drove policy innovations. Several extraordinary pandemic assistance programs targeted women and brought more people into social safety nets. The latter makes it easier to provide targeted assistance to cope with the current food and fuel price spikes.



For policymakers, there are well-proven solutions to adopt gender-sensitive macroeconomic actions.



First, step up investment in women’s human capital. The gains from providing women equal access to food, healthcare, and education are especially large in emerging and developing economies. Think of cash transfers that help families afford the basics in countries with less developed social safety nets.



Brazil introduced the Emergency Aid cash transfer program early in the pandemic, which provided double the benefits to women-led households. IMF staff estimates show that the poverty rate among such households would have increased from 11 percent to more than 30 percent without Emergency Aid; instead, it fell to about 8 percent. And Egypt recently expanded cash assistance to low-income single mothers helping them keep their children healthy and in school. In Togo, mobile technology helped expedite emergency financial support during the pandemic, especially benefitting women.



The second confirmed solution is enabling women to work outside the home or start their businesses. Reforms to taxation, public spending, financial infrastructure and regulations, as well as labor markets can help . Providing access to quality and affordable childcare frees up more women to work and also creates jobs directly.



In Norway, the expansion of universal childcare increased the likelihood of mothers’ employment by 32 percentage points. In emerging and developing economies, access to mobile phones and the internet opens the door to economic opportunity. For instance, IMF research shows that traditional and digital finance is helping close the gender gap in access to financial services, including microlending—resulting in lower income inequality and higher growth.



A third area to tackle is biases. Out of 190 countries surveyed, the World Bank found that women were on equal legal standing with men in just 12 countries. Gender-based discrimination in social institutions costs the world economy $6 trillion according to the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development. But in recent years, countries have reduced these costs through social and legal actions such as curbing underage marriage, criminalizing domestic violence, and increasing the number of female elected officials.



Fourth, increasing the representation of women in leadership positions is also critical. IMF analysis shows that a greater presence of women in financial institutions and financial policymaking goes hand in hand with greater financial resilience. And in fintech firms and the corporate sector, more women in leadership is associated with better performance and profitability, respectively.



<h2 class="wp-block-heading" id="h-the-imf-s-gender-strategy">The IMF’s Gender Strategy</h2>



The IMF has supported members in deploying and improving gender policies for a number of years. And recently, our Executive Board approved the first comprehensive IMF Strategy for Mainstreaming Gender to help our members adapt pro-gender equality policies to their unique circumstances.



The strategy recognizes that macroeconomic and financial policies affect women and men differently, often unintentionally. We are helping policymakers identify and remedy these biases by applying a gender lens to our main activities—from our regular country policy surveillance to how we design and implement programs to our capacity development support.



We have supported increased spending on women in our program countries. For example, Egypt expanded pre-school availability and improved the safety of public transport under an IMF-supported program, helping women get to jobs. And São Tomé and Príncipe, with the support of an IMF program, launched an initiative on gender budgeting—the use of fiscal policies and institutions to promote women’s equality across government programs. We also quantified the productivity benefits of getting more girls into high school in Senegal and other countries.



Under the new strategy, the Fund will work in the years ahead with our 190 members and external partners to expand both the breadth of our policy recommendations and bring greater rigor in our analysis to help more countries tailor and deploy policies that support gender equality.



Over time, gender-sensitive macroeconomic and financial policies will result in higher growth, greater economic stability and resilience, and lower income inequality—a dividend not just for women, but for everyone.

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