Impact of Nigeria's Eurobond on NSE
Could the success of Nigeria's Eurobond have had an impact on the NSE? Ayodele Akinwunmi, Head Research, FSDH Merchant Bank joins CNBC Africa to review the trading day and discuss this.
Mon, 13 Feb 2017 13:54:46 GMT
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AI Generated Summary
- The positive implications of Nigeria's successful $1 billion 15-year Eurobond issuance were discussed, signaling optimism for the country's economic prospects.
- Upcoming inflation data, influenced by factors like foreign exchange rates and oil prices, could lead to adjustments in electricity tariffs and petrol prices, potentially impacting inflation rates.
- Policy measures, sustained oil prices, and increased production could support market recovery, though challenges like high inflation rates and interest on fixed income securities persist in the market.
The Nigerian Stock Exchange (NSC) experienced a decline of about 4.5%, closing at 25,244 points, amidst the success of Nigeria's Eurobond. The impact of this Eurobond success on the NSC trading day was a topic of discussion as Ayodele Akinwunmi, the head of research at FSDH Merchant Bank, joined CNBC Africa to review the trading day and provide insights on the situation.
Akinwunmi shared his views on how the market seemed to overlook the success of the Eurobond in relation to the equities market's performance for the day. Despite this, he highlighted the positive implications of Nigeria's successful issuance of a $1 billion 15-year Eurobond, attracting significant investor interest. This achievement signified a milestone for the country, reflecting positively on its economic prospects.
While the Eurobond success brought optimism, Akinwunmi also pointed out looming macroeconomic issues that are garnering investor attention. One such concern is the upcoming inflation data release, with expectations of a rise in inflation rates. Factors such as foreign exchange rates, high inflation, and oil prices could lead to adjustments in electricity tariffs and petrol prices, potentially impacting inflation rates going forward.
The discussion also touched on the potential implications of adjustments in electricity tariffs and petrol prices on the fixed income and equity markets. Akinwunmi forecasted a possible average inflation rate of 15% for the year, which could pose challenges for the equity market. However, he noted that certain policy measures and sustained oil prices above $50 per barrel, coupled with increased oil production, could drive economic growth and potentially boost oil revenues, offering some hope for market recovery.
Despite the current downturn in the equity market, Akinwunmi suggested that there might be a chance for a modest recovery if the government implements effective policies to stimulate the economy and foster private sector involvement. He emphasized the importance of forthcoming policy documents and the need for consistent oil production and prices to support revenue growth and company earnings.
In conclusion, the analysis highlighted the complexities of the economic landscape and the interplay between global factors and domestic policies on Nigeria's financial markets. As investors navigate these uncertainties, all eyes will be on how the government's decisions and market dynamics shape the trajectory of the NSE and the broader economy.