Uganda - Rwanda relations set to get worse

Tensions between Uganda and Rwanda have escalated once again with recent cases of abductions and shootings. Two months ago, the relationship between the two countries drew widespread attention as Rwanda closed its busiest trade border post with Uganda at Gatuna, citing accusations of Uganda abducting Rwandans and supporting rebel groups aiming to destabilize Kigali. These recent developments have only added fuel to the fire, further straining the already fragile relationship between the neighboring nations. CNBC Africa correspondent, Canary Mugume, provided insights on the latest events unfolding in the region. The handover of a five-year-old Rwandan national named John Batista took place a few hours prior, with officials from both countries in attendance. However, the scheduled appearance of the Rwandan ambassador did not occur, raising questions about the official communication between the two nations. The ongoing conflicts have significantly impacted trade relations between Uganda and Rwanda, as cross-border trade has been disrupted. Incidents such as the recent border shooting have only worsened the situation, leading to a significant backlog of trucks at border points. The trade blockade has not only affected the economic activities of the two countries but also poses a setback to the economic development of the East African community. The inability to resolve the conflict has hindered progress towards achieving an African community treaty, as each country operates with distinct economic visions and plans. The recent meeting between President Paul Kagame and President Yoweri Museveni during the inauguration of President Cyril Ramaphosa in South Africa raises speculations about potential discussions on the ongoing tensions. However, the sensitive nature of the issue makes it difficult to assume whether any substantial progress was made. Both leaders are held accountable to their respective citizens, making it essential for them to address the matter meticulously and privately. The strained relationship between Uganda and Rwanda poses a significant challenge to regional stability and cooperation in East Africa, underscoring the pressing need for diplomatic resolutions to defuse the escalating tensions.