Has COVID-19 triggered a market correction?
Another market impact of the coronavirus is on the volatility of currencies and the commodities market in recent weeks. Market Analyst, Peet Serfontein joins CNBC Africa for more.
Fri, 28 Feb 2020 11:11:58 GMT
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AI Generated Summary
- Understanding constructive cycles in the market is crucial for predicting and navigating market corrections.
- The Johannesburg Stock Exchange (JSE) has witnessed significant declines, potentially indicating a bear market.
- Investors are advised to exercise caution in commodity markets and currency fluctuations amidst market volatility.
The global markets have been inundated with panic selling and steep declines in stock prices, leaving investors and analysts alike on edge. Market Analyst, Peet Serfontein, shed light on the unfolding market correction and the impact of the coronavirus on market volatility. Serfontein highlighted the importance of understanding the constructive cycles in the market, indicating that a severe correction may be inevitable between 2019 and 2023. This raises the question of whether the recent market turmoil is the beginning of a significant correction. While some speculate this downturn to be a temporary blip, Serfontein suggested that there could be a V-shaped correction followed by a potential buying opportunity amidst the uncertainty.
The recent market movements have raised concerns following the South African finance minister's budget and Moody's reports, hinting at a possible junk status. The Johannesburg Stock Exchange (JSE) has witnessed a decline of around 10%, displaying signs of being in a bear market territory. With the markets showing extreme oversold conditions, a looming bear market could be on the horizon. As companies struggle with earnings and growth forecasts, investors are advised to tread carefully in selecting investments.
Amidst the market turbulence, Serfontein highlighted the potential impact on commodity prices, particularly in the resources sector. Gold, traditionally a safe haven during uncertain times, may continue to outperform as market risk persists. However, the upside potential for gold at $1,700 may be limited, indicating a possible move into a sideways pattern. Similarly, with the South African rand facing volatility and potential downgrades, investors are urged to exercise caution in navigating the currency markets.
As concerns grow over the economic ramifications of the coronavirus outbreak, South Africa faces the possibility of economic growth below 1%. Serfontein emphasized the significance of upcoming GDP figures and the need for preparedness in facing potential challenges ahead. With uncertain times ahead, risk management and portfolio rebalancing are highlighted as crucial strategies for investors to weather the storm.
In conclusion, as investors prepare for potentially challenging times, Serfontein emphasized the importance of disciplined risk management and strategic portfolio adjustments. By staying vigilant and seizing specific buying opportunities, investors can navigate the turbulent market conditions with caution and resilience.