Why this analyst believes Zim’s move to halt mobile money platforms & stock exchange trading undermines investor confidence
Over the weekend, the Zimbabwean government suspended the use of mobile money platforms and trading on the Zimbabwean Stock Exchange siting alleged economic corruption on these platforms. Batanai Matsika, Head of Research at Morgan & Co joins CNBC Africa for more.
Tue, 30 Jun 2020 07:11:38 GMT
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AI Generated Summary
- The instability of the Zimbabwean dollar (ZWL) and soaring inflation rates have undermined its credibility as a medium of exchange and store of value, leading to a preference for conducting transactions in US dollars.
- The premature reintroduction of the ZWL has failed to address the fundamental issues of currency instability and inflation, further eroding investor confidence and hindering economic growth.
- The suspension of mobile money platforms and stock exchange trading has deterred investors and damaged Zimbabwe's reputation as an investment destination, risking capital flight to more stable markets.
The Zimbabwean government's recent decision to suspend mobile money platforms and trading on the Zimbabwean Stock Exchange has raised eyebrows and concerns among investors and analysts. Batanai Matsika, Head of Research at Morgan & Co, shared insights on the matter in a recent interview with CNBC Africa. Matsika highlighted the parallels between the current situation and past economic crises in Zimbabwe, pointing out that the underlying issue is the lack of confidence in the local currency, the Zimbabwean dollar (ZWL). He emphasized that the ZWL's instability and high inflation rates have eroded its value, leading to a preference for conducting transactions in US dollars.
Matsika criticized the premature reintroduction of the ZWL, noting that it does not function effectively as a medium of exchange, unit of account, or store of value. With inflation soaring above 785 percent, the ZWL has failed to retain its value and credibility. As a result, businesses and individuals favor transacting in more stable foreign currencies like the US dollar, further undermining the ZWL's utility and perpetuating economic challenges.
Moreover, the suspension of mobile money platforms and trading on the stock exchange has exacerbated the situation by deterring investors and damaging Zimbabwe's reputation as an investment destination. Matsika pointed out the contradiction in the government's stance of wanting to attract foreign direct investment while implementing restrictive policies that hinder market activity. The move risks driving investors away to other markets like Lusaka or Johannesburg, where they can deploy their capital without facing such impediments.
In light of Zimbabwe's staggering inflation rate of 786 percent and the depreciating value of the ZWL against the US dollar, the government's actions appear counterproductive and further compound the economic challenges facing the country. The lack of coherent and investor-friendly policies, coupled with the erosion of confidence in the local currency, paints a grim picture for Zimbabwe's economic prospects. As the country grapples with deep-rooted issues, including currency instability and high inflation, the need for sustainable and effective solutions becomes more pressing than ever.
In conclusion, the decision to halt mobile money platforms and suspend stock exchange trading reflects a shortsighted approach that undermines investor confidence and jeopardizes Zimbabwe's economic recovery. Addressing the fundamental issues plaguing the economy, such as currency instability and inflation, requires strategic and coordinated efforts from policymakers and stakeholders. Failure to instill trust in the local currency and create a conducive environment for investment may further hamper Zimbabwe's journey towards economic stability and growth.