Kenyan MPs call for deferral of new projects in austerity drive
A Kenyan parliamentary committee said on Thursday that it will reject the government’s 2021/22 budget plan if the deficit goal is set at more than the currently proposed 7.5 per cent of GDP. Moreover, BOC Kenya’s proposed takeover by Carbacid in collaboration with Aksaya Investments has been put on hold pending the hearing of an appeal at the Capital Markets Tribunal. Ann Wacera, Investment Analyst at Cytonn spoke to CNBC Africa for more.
Mon, 12 Apr 2021 11:15:11 GMT
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AI Generated Summary
- The rejection of the budget plan by the Parliamentary Committee has raised concerns about Kenya's fiscal health and the need for austerity measures to address the deficit.
- Government revenue collection has improved but remains below pre-COVID levels, necessitating reliance on loans from international institutions to bridge the deficit gap.
- The proposed takeover of BOC Kenya by Carbacid in collaboration with Aksaya Investments has been delayed, while concerns about the restructuring of debt-laden state-owned enterprises like Kenya Airways persist.
In a move that could have significant implications for Kenya's economic future, the Kenyan Parliamentary Committee announced on Thursday that it will reject the government's 2021-22 budget plan if the deficit goal is set at more than the currently proposed 7.5% of GDP. This rejection has sparked concerns about the country's fiscal health and prompted calls for austerity measures to be implemented in order to address the deficit. The proposed takeover of BOC Kenya by Carbacid in collaboration with Aksaya Investments has also been put on hold pending the hearing of an appeal at the Capital Markets Tribunal.
The rejection of the budget plan by the Parliamentary Committee reflects growing concerns about Kenya's fiscal sustainability. Ann Wacera, an Investment Analyst at Cytonn, highlighted the challenges facing the government in meeting its budget targets. Wacera noted that while revenue collection has improved from the low levels seen in 2020, it is still below pre-COVID levels. The government is also relying on loans from international institutions such as the IMF and the World Bank to bridge the deficit gap. The recent oversubscription of a bond offering has provided some short-term relief, but long-term fiscal planning remains a concern.
One of the key themes emerging from the rejection of the budget plan is the need for austerity measures to be implemented. The government is under pressure to reduce its deficit target from 8.9% to 7.5% for the next fiscal year. This reduction will require significant cutbacks in government spending, particularly in sectors such as infrastructure and real estate. The focus is expected to shift towards essential services such as healthcare, as the government seeks to contain the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic.
Another important issue raised by the Parliamentary Committee is the restructuring of state-owned enterprises burdened with debt. Companies like Kenya Airways, which have been recording losses for an extended period, are in need of government intervention to remain viable. The government's support for these enterprises has raised concerns about their long-term sustainability and the impact on the country's overall financial health. It remains to be seen how the government will address these challenges in the coming months.
The proposed takeover of BOC Kenya by Carbacid in collaboration with Aksaya Investments has faced delays, with the Capital Markets Tribunal hearing an appeal regarding the deal. The uncertainty surrounding the takeover has raised questions about the stability of the deal and its potential impact on the companies involved. Analysts are closely monitoring the situation and expect a resolution in the coming months.
In terms of market performance, last week saw mixed results in the equity markets. Companies like BAT performed well due to dividend payments, while others like KCB and Equity Bank faced challenges in the banking sector. Foreign investors have been net sellers in recent weeks, contributing to market volatility. Analysts are advising investors to keep an eye on key players like KCB and Safaricom, as well as opportunities in emerging technologies such as 5G coverage.
Overall, the rejection of the government's budget plan and the calls for austerity measures signal a challenging road ahead for Kenya's economy. The government will need to navigate carefully to address the deficit, support struggling industries, and ensure sustainable growth in the face of ongoing uncertainties.