World Bank: Ghana’s economy to grow by 5.5% in 2022
The World Bank says it expects Ghana’s economy to grow by 5.5 per cent this year, but stressed that the fiscal policies introduced by Ghana may not be enough to address the country’s debt sustainability problems. John Gatsi, the Dean of the School of Business at the University of Cape Coast in Ghana joins CNBC Africa to discuss this.
Thu, 14 Apr 2022 12:23:35 GMT
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AI Generated Summary
- The latest inflation rate in Ghana at 19.4%, a 12-year high, has raised concerns about the effectiveness of monetary policy measures in controlling inflation.
- The World Bank projects a growth rate of 5.5% for Ghana's economy in 2022, but warns about higher food and fuel prices contributing to inflation across African countries.
- Sub-Saharan African economies are projected to grow by 3.9% in 2022 and 4.2% in 2024, highlighting the need for targeted support to address structural challenges and promote economic recovery.
Ghana's economy is facing inflationary headwinds despite the World Bank's projection of a 5.5% growth rate for the year 2022. The latest inflation rate in Ghana stands at 19.4%, marking a 12-year high and raising concerns about the efficacy of monetary policy measures in curbing rising inflation. Professor John Gatzi, the Dean of the School of Business at the University of Cape Coast in Ghana, discussed these challenges in a recent interview. He highlighted that while some inflationary pressures were expected due to previous measures taken, the current level of 19.4% was beyond initial forecasts. The response from monetary policy authorities is crucial at this juncture, with potential adjustments to the policy rate based on inflation trends and fiscal indicators.
The World Bank's forecast of a 5.5% growth rate for Ghana's economy is tempered by concerns about escalating food and fuel prices contributing to higher inflation rates not only in Ghana but across African countries. The ongoing crisis between Russia and Ukraine exacerbates pre-existing inflationary pressures, necessitating targeted support for vulnerable economies. Professor Gatzi emphasized the need to focus on bolstering agricultural productivity in Ghana and other African nations to combat rising prices and reduce dependency on imported goods. Strategic interventions such as maintaining agricultural subsidies and enhancing productivity along the food chain are vital for long-term economic stability.
Looking beyond Ghana, the World Bank projects a growth rate of 3.9% for sub-Saharan African economies in 2022, rising to 4.2% in 2024. While these figures indicate a gradual recovery, they fall short of the sustained growth needed to overcome structural challenges hindering economic progress. Professor Gatzi underscored the deepening of structural issues in African economies post-COVID-19 and echoed the World Bank's call for targeted support in key sectors to expedite recovery. He proposed directing financial assistance specifically to the agricultural sector to enhance competitiveness and promote domestic production, thus enabling African countries to recover swiftly.
In conclusion, Ghana's economic landscape reflects a delicate balance between growth prospects and inflationary pressures, necessitating proactive measures to address underlying challenges. The World Bank's growth projections for Ghana and sub-Saharan Africa signal positive momentum but underscore the urgent need for tailored support to stimulate sustainable recovery. As African nations navigate the complexities of post-pandemic economic revival, a strategic focus on agriculture and targeted interventions will be instrumental in fostering long-term resilience and driving inclusive growth.