S&P downgrades Ghana's credit rating
Credit ratings agency, Standard and Poor's Global Ratings has downgraded Ghana’s debt further into speculative territory, lowering the country’s foreign and local currency sovereign ratings to junk from B-/B to CCC+/C with negative outlook. John Gatsi, the Dean of the School of Business at the University of Cape Coast in Ghana, joins CNBC Africa for more.
Mon, 08 Aug 2022 12:03:38 GMT
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AI Generated Summary
- S&P's downgrade to junk status signals a serious economic crisis for Ghana, emphasizing the need for immediate action to stabilize the economy and restore investor confidence.
- Slow pace of negotiations with the IMF poses a risk to Ghana's economy, limiting access to financial support and weakening bargaining power in discussions with international partners.
- Challenges such as limited financing options, fiscal constraints, and depleted reserves underscore the urgent need for radical reforms in governance, revenue generation, and expenditure management.
Ghana is facing a serious economic crisis as credit ratings agency, Standard and Poor's Global Ratings, recently downgraded the country's debt further into speculative territory. The agency lowered Ghana's foreign and local currency sovereign ratings to junk status from B-minus to CCC+/C with a negative outlook. This move has sent shockwaves through the Ghanaian economy, with experts expressing concerns about the implications of the downgrade. John Gatsi, the Dean of the School of Business at the University of Cape Coast in Ghana, highlighted the gravity of the situation in a recent interview with CNBC Africa.
Gatsi emphasized that S&P's decision to downgrade Ghana's credit rating is a significant development that had been forewarned. He noted that the agency's negative outlook reflects the challenges faced by Ghana in assessing the international capital market. The warning signs were clear, indicating the need for urgent action to stabilize the country's currency and economy.
The downgrade marks the worst rating for Ghana since 2003, underscoring the urgent need for the country to engage in negotiations with the International Monetary Fund (IMF). Gatsi highlighted the slow pace of these negotiations as a risk to the Ghanaian economy, as it weakens the country's bargaining power and limits its access to financial support.
S&P's concerns about Ghana's limited financing options and fiscal constraints were deemed justified by Gatsi. He pointed out that Ghana has exhausted its fiscal and monetary buffers, leaving the economy vulnerable to external shocks. The depletion of international reserves and the lack of support from the Bank of Ghana further exacerbate the challenges faced by the country.
In terms of reforms, Gatsi emphasized the need for radical changes, particularly in the size and structure of the government. He criticized the allocation of resources to elderly officials under article 71, as well as the lack of meaningful reforms in revenue generation and expenditure management. Gatsi stressed the importance of accountability and efficient governance in addressing Ghana's economic woes.
Looking ahead, Gatsi expressed concerns about the July inflation outlook, predicting a potential increase but refraining from specifying the magnitude. The challenges faced by Ghana require immediate and decisive action to stabilize the economy and restore investor confidence.
In conclusion, Ghana's credit downgrade serves as a wake-up call for policymakers and stakeholders to implement bold reforms and address the underlying structural issues that have contributed to the country's economic vulnerability. Urgent steps are needed to secure financial support, strengthen the currency, and stimulate sustainable growth in order to navigate through this challenging period.