Positive sentiments to persist in Nigerian equities
Analysts say they expect the bullish momentum in the Nigerian equities market to continue as investors take position in high-yielding stocks. Muyiwa Oni, the Regional Head of Equity research for West Africa at Standard Bank Group, joins CNBC Africa for this discussion.
Tue, 10 Oct 2023 14:12:31 GMT
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AI Generated Summary
- Active participation of local investors driving market rally
- Importance of FX market reforms to attract foreign portfolio investors
- Evaluation of sectors under tightening interest rate environment
The Nigerian equities market has seen a strong bullish run, with analysts expressing confidence in the continued positive momentum. Muyiwa Oni, the Regional Head of Equity Research for West Africa at Standard Bank Group, shed light on the key factors driving the market and where investors are finding value. One significant observation is the active participation of local investors driving the market rally, with foreign portfolio flows yet to make a significant impact. Despite the absence of foreign investors, the market has been buoyed by domestic investors engaging in corporate actions within sectors such as industrials and banks.
On the topic of attracting foreign portfolio investors back to the market, Oni highlighted the need for reforms in the FX market. Resolving issues in the FX market and engaging with foreign investors interested in the Nigerian market are deemed crucial in luring back this category of investors. As domestic investors navigate their investment decisions, factors such as valuation and the evolving interest rate environment come into play. The tightening interest rate landscape prompts investors to assess sectors that may benefit or face challenges in the market.
In this environment, banking stocks are positioned to thrive if the central bank implements reforms that enhance asset yields and net interest margins. Conversely, sectors like industrials may encounter difficulties amidst rising costs, including energy expenses and higher interest rates. Despite the challenging backdrop, investors have sought refuge in banking stocks and explored opportunities in consumer goods, oil and gas, and telecom sectors.
For consumer goods and oil and gas stocks, the currency dynamics and international pricing play a significant role in determining their performance. The telecom sector also presents opportunities due to the persistent demand for mobile services. Additionally, the upstream segment of the oil and gas sector stands to benefit from favorable oil prices and strong earnings potential.
Looking ahead, uncertainty surrounding new policies and their impact on businesses creates challenges for companies across sectors. Planning and projecting amidst regulatory changes and policy uncertainties remain a hurdle for both financial and non-financial entities. Despite the current difficulties, companies are advised to focus on stabilizing costs, hedging interest rate and FX risks, and maintaining operational stability.
Overall, as investors navigate the evolving market landscape, the implementation of clear policies and reforms, particularly in the FX market, holds the key to attracting foreign investments and fostering sustained growth in the Nigerian equities market.