Fowler: Food production projections by 2050 disastrous particularly in Africa

The projections for food production by 2050 are looking dire, especially for Africa, according to US Special Envoy on Global Food Security, Cary Fowler. In a recent interview with CNBC Africa, Fowler highlighted the significant challenges posed by climate change on agricultural systems and the urgent need for adaptation. The interview took place on the side-lines of Cop28 in Dubai, where the crucial link between food security and climate change was a key focus. Fowler emphasized that the impact of climate change on agriculture has already been felt through decreased production in various regions. Looking ahead to 2050, the projections are grim, particularly for Africa, where the repercussions on food production could be catastrophic. With rising global temperatures, the need for adaptive crops and resilient agricultural systems has never been more pressing. The conference in Dubai, hosting by the United Arab Emirates, aimed to address the intersection of food security and climate change. Agriculture, a significant source of greenhouse gas emissions, is also vulnerable to the effects of climate change. Fowler underscored the importance of recognizing this new climate reality and the imperative for agricultural systems to adapt. Key Points: 1. Urgent Need for Adaptive Crops and Soil: Fowler stressed the necessity of focusing on adaptive crops and soil management, especially in Africa where soils are often degraded. The Vision for Adaptive Crops and Soils initiative, co-sponsored by the US and UAE, aims to enhance food security through innovative agricultural practices. 2. Impact of Climate Change on Staple Crops: The looming crisis on staple crops like maize in Africa due to climate change was highlighted. Climate modeling results indicate a potential decrease in yields by up to 25% by 2050, posing a significant threat to food security. Initiatives to invest in traditional and indigenous crops are essential for increasing resilience. 3. Mobilizing Finance for Agricultural Innovation: Addressing the financing gap for agricultural innovation is crucial. Collaborative efforts with institutions like the International Fund for Agricultural Development and pledges from countries like the US are essential for scaling up initiatives. Governments need to prioritize investments in agricultural development to ensure sustainable food production. In response to questions about the challenges in mobilizing funds, Fowler emphasized the need to communicate the potential and optimism in agricultural innovation. Expressing the return on investment and the transformative impact on smallholder farmers, particularly women in rural areas, is crucial. Despite the obstacles posed by climate change, Fowler remains optimistic about the potential for effective strategies and technologies to address the looming food production crisis. Quote: Fowler encapsulated the essence of the situation by stating, 'Investments in this space really, really pay off. The return on investment is terrific. So if governments, African governments, international institutions, aid agencies want to make a great investment, this is the place to be.'