How ECOWAS crack may heighten security tensions

In a surprising turn of events, Niger, Mali, and Burkina Faso have declared their withdrawal from the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS), sparking security concerns across the region. Adebayo Adeleke, a Security Consultant and CEO of Supply Chain Africa, weighed in on the implications of this move on the regional security architecture in West Africa. The decision by the three countries to break away from ECOWAS has raised eyebrows, with questions looming over the formal process of their departure from the organization. Adeleke highlighted the lack of clarity surrounding the decoupling process, pointing out that the absence of a clear understanding of what exactly the countries are severing ties from could have far-reaching consequences. Established in 1975, ECOWAS has been a pivotal institution in the region, and the sudden exit of Niger, Mali, and Burkina Faso has left many wondering about the future of regional cooperation and security. Adeleke emphasized the need for a concerted effort to address the escalating security threats in the Sahel and West Africa, with the alliance formed by the three countries likely to have significant implications for the entire region. The potential impact on Nigeria is particularly concerning, as the withdrawal of the three nations could lead to a reduction in economic activities and heightened security risks along the shared borders. Adeleke warned about the possibility of increased migration and arms smuggling, posing a direct threat to Nigeria's internal security. The fight against armed groups in the Sahel region could face further challenges as the alliance strengthens the position of insurgent forces, creating a more formidable threat to the stability of the region. Adeleke also touched upon the geopolitical dynamics at play, with external players such as Russia, France, and the United States vying for influence in the region. The emergence of the Wagner group, a Russian private military contractor, has added a new dimension to the security landscape, raising concerns about the potential for proxy wars and destabilization. Adeleke underlined the importance of maintaining a united front within ECOWAS to counter the growing influence of external actors and preserve regional stability. While the withdrawal of Niger, Mali, and Burkina Faso has disrupted the status quo, Adeleke remains optimistic about the resilience of the remaining ECOWAS member states in the face of mounting security challenges. As the region navigates uncertain terrain, key stakeholders must work together to de-escalate tensions and safeguard the collective security interests of West Africa.