Kenyan markets review
The Kenyan market has seen a record positive comeback. Stock market up, Eurobond refinanced and a steady Kenyan shilling, but what more could even get better for a country's whose market had been on a record low at the peak of the year? To bring more perspective into this discussion, CNBC Africa is joined by Caleb Mugendi, Investment Manager at Genghis Capital Asset Management.
Mon, 18 Mar 2024 14:54:16 GMT
Disclaimer: The following content is generated automatically by a GPT AI and may not be accurate. To verify the details, please watch the video
AI Generated Summary
- The appreciation of the Kenyan shilling and successful Eurobond refinancing have contributed to Kenya's market resurgence.
- The banking sector's impressive financial performance and substantial dividend payouts have boosted investor confidence in the equity market.
- Investors are actively participating in bond auctions, with a keen interest in infrastructure bonds that offer attractive yields above 17%.
Kenya's market has experienced a significant positive turnaround with the stock market on the rise, successful refinancing of the Eurobond, and a stable Kenyan shilling. This resurgence comes after a period of record lows and has positioned Kenya as one of the best-performing markets in Sub-Saharan Africa. The key factors driving this market revival include the appreciation of the Kenyan shilling, successful Eurobond refinancing, and positive performances in the equity market. The banking sector has played a crucial role in boosting investor confidence with impressive financial results and substantial dividend payouts. Additionally, the stabilizing and appreciating currency, along with attractive yields in the market, have attracted both local and foreign investors back into the market.
The recent increase in the all-share index by 7% and the notable performances of key banks like Standard Bank, Standard Chartered, and Barclays Bank have contributed to the bullish sentiment in the equity market. The market remains undervalued, presenting opportunities for investors to capitalize on pockets of value. The release of banking sector results, coupled with the Central Bank's decision to raise rates, has further boosted investor confidence in the market. With private sector credit growth still above historical averages and banks poised to benefit from higher interest rates, the outlook for Kenya's capital markets looks promising.
In the fixed income market, investors are eagerly participating in bond auctions, with a keen interest in the new 10-year bond with a fixed coupon rate of 10%. Despite a temporary dip in volumes traded, there is significant demand for infrastructure bonds that offer tax-free yields above 17%. While some challenges persist, such as non-performing loans, the overall market sentiment remains positive.
Looking ahead, positive economic indicators, such as the Purchasing Managers Index bouncing back to positive territory, and sustained growth in the country's GDP are expected to support further market growth. Foreign investor sentiment is gradually shifting, with a potential uptick in investments as they reassess the risk and return profile of the country. As local investors observe this trend, a ripple effect is anticipated with more activity in the market.
Overall, the recent market resurgence in Kenya reflects a renewed investor confidence driven by a combination of domestic and external factors. With the momentum gained in key sectors like banking and the overall market outlook, Kenya's capital markets are poised for continued growth and attracting more interest from investors both locally and internationally.