Eigbe: Petrol lifting from Dangote Refinery to support naira, dollar savings
The Director at ESCAP Management, Esili Eigbe projects the lifting of petrol from Dangote Refinery in the coming months may trigger two key shifts; a drop in actual gasoline consumption and pricing that aligns more closely with market rates. Meanwhile, the Governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria expects the move will lower transportation costs, curb inflation, strengthen the country's foreign reserves and overall balance of payments. He joins CNBC Africa for more.
Wed, 25 Sep 2024 12:30:14 GMT
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AI Generated Summary
- The lifting of petrol from the Dangote Refinery is expected to result in a drop in actual gasoline consumption and pricing aligned with market rates.
- The move is projected to lower transportation costs, curb inflation, strengthen foreign reserves, and improve the overall balance of payments in Nigeria.
- As the Dangote Refinery expands its operations, it is poised to have a significant impact on GDP growth and create opportunities for supporting services and businesses.
The Director at ESCAP Management, Esili Eigbe, has projected that the lifting of petrol from the Dangote Refinery in the coming months will bring about two significant changes in Nigeria's economy. One of the shifts is expected to be a drop in actual gasoline consumption and pricing that will align more closely with market rates. Mr. Eigbe's insights coincide with the expectations of the Central Bank of Nigeria, which anticipates that this move will not only lower transportation costs but also curb inflation, strengthen foreign reserves, and improve the overall balance of payments in the country. The recent developments in Nigeria's fuel sector have triggered discussions on how these changes will impact various aspects of the economy. The government's decision to remove fuel subsidies and allow market forces to determine fuel prices has set the stage for potential positive outcomes in the medium to long term. While the short-term implications may lead to an increase in inflation due to rising transportation costs, the overall trajectory is expected to be beneficial for the economy. As the Dangote Refinery ramps up its production, the ripple effects are projected to be felt across different sectors of the economy, contributing to GDP growth and creating opportunities for supporting services and businesses. The transition towards a more deregulated market, with the upcoming Naira crude oil sales, is expected to bring new dynamics into play, influencing pricing and market metrics. With the Naira crude oil sales set to commence on October 1st, expectations are high for a decrease in gasoline prices as global crude oil prices have also been on a decline. This shift is likely to impact consumption patterns within the country and shape the future economic landscape. The unfolding scenario presents an opportunity for Nigeria to adapt to a changing market environment and leverage these shifts to drive economic growth and stability. As stakeholders prepare for the upcoming changes, the focus remains on understanding the potential implications and navigating the transition towards a more market-driven fuel sector.