Trump's second term: Implications for U.S.-Africa trade, diplomacy and security

As global dynamics continue to evolve, Africa must navigate shifting U.S. policies while seizing opportunities for trade, investment, and security cooperation. The continent faces the challenge of adapting to changes in U.S. leadership, particularly with Donald Trump returning for a second term as president. Joining CNBC Africa to provide expert insights on the implications for U.S.-Africa trade, diplomacy, and security is Declan Galvin, Managing Director at Exigent Risk Advisory. Galvin highlights key points on how African countries can maximize economic opportunities and attract U.S. investments during Trump's second term, as well as the potential shifts in U.S. diplomatic relations and responses to Chinese and Russian influence in Africa. Galvin emphasizes that U.S. policy toward Africa remains relatively consistent across different administrations, with trade relations and initiatives like the African Growth and Opportunity Act (AGOA) likely to continue. Despite Trump's 'America First' policy, AGOA aligns with his ideology of promoting trade and providing preferential access to American markets for African goods. However, Trump may focus more on bilateral relations with specific African countries rather than a continental-wide economic agenda. In terms of maximizing economic opportunities, Galvin suggests that African leaders should understand Trump's transactional and personalized approach to deals. Trump values respect and flattery, factors that can influence his decision-making process. African countries seeking U.S. investments should focus on presenting deals that appeal to Trump's interest in making tangible agreements. Regarding U.S. diplomatic relations with Africa, Galvin anticipates Trump concentrating on key states such as Kenya to foster strategic partnerships for economic and security cooperation. He highlights the potential impact of appointing individuals like Peter Pham, with extensive diplomatic experience in African affairs, to shape policy and engagement with the continent. The choice of the next Assistant Secretary of State covering Africa will play a crucial role in determining the direction of U.S. diplomatic relations under Trump's administration. On the geopolitical front, Galvin addresses the increasing Chinese and Russian influence in Africa and how the U.S. is likely to respond. While concerns exist about Trump's aggressiveness towards Africa, particularly in light of China's growing presence on the continent, Galvin suggests that Trump's primary focus will be on an 'America First' agenda and countering Chinese influence. African countries may witness a pushback against Chinese involvement as part of Trump's broader strategy. As Africa navigates the complexities of U.S. policies under a second Trump administration, the continent must adopt strategic approaches to capitalize on economic opportunities, attract investments, and strengthen diplomatic relations. Monitoring the evolving dynamics of U.S.-Africa trade, diplomacy, and security cooperation will be essential for African nations seeking to navigate the changing global landscape and secure their interests.