<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="820" height="461" src="https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/106677114-15983545702020-08-25t100023z_1719720997_rc2yki97n9wc_rtrmadp_0_usa-china-tech-820x461.jpeg" alt="" class="wp-image-551143" srcset="https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/106677114-15983545702020-08-25t100023z_1719720997_rc2yki97n9wc_rtrmadp_0_usa-china-tech-820x461.jpeg 820w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/106677114-15983545702020-08-25t100023z_1719720997_rc2yki97n9wc_rtrmadp_0_usa-china-tech-300x169.jpeg 300w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/106677114-15983545702020-08-25t100023z_1719720997_rc2yki97n9wc_rtrmadp_0_usa-china-tech-160x90.jpeg 160w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/106677114-15983545702020-08-25t100023z_1719720997_rc2yki97n9wc_rtrmadp_0_usa-china-tech-768x432.jpeg 768w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/106677114-15983545702020-08-25t100023z_1719720997_rc2yki97n9wc_rtrmadp_0_usa-china-tech-1536x864.jpeg 1536w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/106677114-15983545702020-08-25t100023z_1719720997_rc2yki97n9wc_rtrmadp_0_usa-china-tech.jpeg 1858w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 820px) 100vw, 820px" /><figcaption class="wp-element-caption">Chinese and U.S. flags flutter near The Bund, before U.S. trade delegation meet their Chinese counterparts for talks in Shanghai, China July 30, 2019. Aly Song | Reuters</figcaption></figure>



BEIJING — Donald Trump’s 2024 presidential win has raised the bar for China’s fiscal stimulus plans, expected Friday.



On the campaign trial, Trump threatened to impose additional tariffs of 60% or more on Chinese goods sold to the U.S. Increased duties of at least 10% under Trump’s first term as president did not dent America’s position as China’s largest trading partner.



But new tariffs — potentially on a larger scale — would come at a pivotal time for China. The country is relying more on exports for growth as it battles with a real estate slump and tepid consumer spending.



If Trump raises tariffs to 60%, that could reduce China’s exports by $200 billion, causing a 1 percentage point drag on GDP, Zhu Baoliang, a former chief economist at China’s economic planning agency, said at a Citigroup conference.



Since late September, Chinese authorities have ramped up efforts to support slowing economic growth. The standing committee of the National People’s Congress — the country’s parliament — is expected to approve additional fiscal stimulus at its meeting this week, which wraps up Friday.



“In response to potential ‘Trump shocks,’ the Chinese government is likely to introduce greater stimulus measures,” said Yue Su, principal economist at the Economist Intelligence Unit. “The overlap of the NPC meeting with the U.S. election outcome suggests the government is prepared to take swift action.”



She expects a stimulus package of more than 10 trillion yuan ($1.39 billion), with about 6 trillion yuan going towards local government debt swaps and bank recapitalization. More than 4 trillion yuan will likely go towards local government special bonds for supporting real estate, Su said. She did not specify over what time period.



<h2 class="wp-block-heading" id="h-stock-market-divergence"><a></a>Stock market divergence</h2>



Mainland China and Hong Kong stocks fell Wednesday as it became clear that Trump would win the election. U.S. stocks then soared with the three major indexes hitting record highs. In Thursday morning trading, Chinese stocks tried to hold mild gains.



That divergence in stock performance indicates China’s stimulus “will be slightly bigger than the baseline scenario,” said Liqian Ren, who leads WisdomTree’s quantitative investment capabilities. She estimates Beijing will add about 2 trillion yuan to 3 trillion yuan a year in support.



Ren doesn’t expect significantly larger support due to uncertainties around how Trump might act. She pointed out that tariffs hurt both countries, but restrictions on tech and investment have a greater impact on China.



Trump, during his first term as president, put Chinese telecommunications giant Huawei on a blacklist that restricted it from using U.S. suppliers. The Biden administration expanded on those moves by limiting U.S. sales of advanced semiconductors to China, and pressuring allies to do the same.



Both Democrats and Republicans supported the passage of those newer export controls and efforts to boost semiconductor manufacturing investment in the U.S., Chris Miller, author of “Chip War,” pointed out earlier this year. He expected the U.S. to increase such restrictions regardless of who won the election.



China has doubled down on bolstering its own tech by encouraging bank loans to high-end manufacturing. But the country had long benefited from U.S. capital as well as the ability to use U.S. software and high-end parts.



Republicans gained a majority in the Senate for the next two years, according to NBC News projections, though control of the House of Representatives remains unclear.



“If the Republican Party gains control of Congress, protectionist measures could be accelerated, amplifying impacts on the global economy and presenting significant downside risks,” Su said.



She expects Trump will likely impose such tariffs in the first half of next year, and could speed up the process by invoking the International Emergency Economic Powers Act or Section 122 of the Trade Act of 1974, which allows the president to impose tariffs of up to 15% in response to a serious balance-of-payments deficit.



U.S. data shows that the trade deficit with China narrowed to $279.11 billion in 2023, from $346.83 billion in 2016.



Su estimated that a 10% tariff increase on Chinese exports to the U.S. could reduce Beijing’s real GDP growth by an average of 0.3 to 0.4 percentage points in the next two years, assuming other factors remain constant.



China’s exports to the U.S. fell by 14% last year to $500.29 billion, according to customs data on Wind Information. That’s still up from $385.08 billion in 2016, before Trump was sworn in for his first term.



Meanwhile, China’s annual imports from the U.S. climbed to $164.16 billion in 2023, up from $134.4 billion in 2016, the Chinese data showed.



Other analysts believe that Beijing will remain conservative, and trickle out stimulus over the coming months rather than release a large package on Friday.



China’s top leaders typically meet in mid-December to discuss economic plans for the year ahead. Then, officials would announce the growth target for the year at an annual parliamentary meeting in March.



“China will likely face much higher tariff from the U.S. next year. I expect policy response from China to also take place next year when higher tariff is imposed,” Zhiwei Zhang, chief economist at Pinpoint Asset Management, said in a note Wednesday afternoon.



“I also don’t think the government will change the policies they already proposed to the NPC because of US election,” he said.



<h2 class="wp-block-heading"><a></a>China’s growing global trade influence</h2>



Regardless of tariffs, China remains an export powerhouse to markets outside the U.S.



“Chinese exports have indeed shifted a bit in the past few years in terms of destination, with the U.S. representing less than 15% of total Chinese exports in 2023, compared with nearly 18% on average in the 2010s,” Francoise Huang, senior economist for Asia-Pacific and global trade at&nbsp;Allianz&nbsp;Trade, said in September.



“While China has lost market share in the U.S., it’s clearly been gaining in other places,” she said. “For example, China now represents more than 25% of ASEAN imports, compared with less than 18% in the 2010s.”



China’s exports have also grown to countries that sell to the U.S., a Federal Reserve report found in August.



— CNBC’s Dylan Butts contributed to this report.

106677114-15983545702020-08-25t100023z_1719720997_rc2yki97n9wc_rtrmadp_0_usa-china-tech

Trump win and threat of more tariffs raises expectations for more China stimulus

<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="820" height="461" src="https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/108012507-1722016734915-gettyimages-2162908988-AA_26072024_1789841-820x461.jpeg" alt="" class="wp-image-550942" srcset="https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/108012507-1722016734915-gettyimages-2162908988-AA_26072024_1789841-820x461.jpeg 820w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/108012507-1722016734915-gettyimages-2162908988-AA_26072024_1789841-300x169.jpeg 300w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/108012507-1722016734915-gettyimages-2162908988-AA_26072024_1789841-160x90.jpeg 160w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/108012507-1722016734915-gettyimages-2162908988-AA_26072024_1789841-768x432.jpeg 768w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/108012507-1722016734915-gettyimages-2162908988-AA_26072024_1789841-1536x864.jpeg 1536w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/108012507-1722016734915-gettyimages-2162908988-AA_26072024_1789841.jpeg 1858w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 820px) 100vw, 820px" /><figcaption class="wp-element-caption">Former US President Donald Trump (L) shakes hands with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu (R) as they pose for a photo within their meeting at Mar-a-Lago estate, in Palm Beach, Florida, United States on July 26, 2024.  Amos Ben-Gershom | Anadolu | Getty Images</figcaption></figure>



A flurry of world leaders on Wednesday sent their congratulations to President-elect Donald Trump after the 78-year-old triumphantly declared a “magnificent” victory.



NBC News has projected Trump will win the presidential race.



Addressing his supporters in Florida, Trump said his return to the White House would usher in the “golden age” of America.



U.K. Prime Minister Keir Starmer congratulated Trump on his “historic” election victory, saying the U.K.-U.S. “special relationship will continue to prosper on both sides of the Atlantic for years to come.”



Likewise, European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen, French President Emmanuel Macron, Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez, Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni and Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban all offered their congratulations to Trump.



Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy congratulated Trump on what he described as his “impressive election victory.”



“I appreciate President Trump’s commitment to the ‘peace through strength’ approach in global affairs. This is exactly the principle that can practically bring just peace in Ukraine closer. I am hopeful that we will put it into action together,” Zelenskyy via social media.



“We look forward to an era of a strong United States of America under President Trump’s decisive leadership. We rely on continued strong bipartisan support for Ukraine in the United States,” he added.



Zelenskyy’s comments come as tensions are likely to be running high in Kyiv, with the U.S. vote regarded as a potentially make-or-break moment in the country’s yearslong fight against Russia.



Ukrainian officials were said to be closely watching the result amid concerns that future military aid to the Eastern European country could be cut — a move that would significantly curtail Kyiv’s ability to fight back against Russia’s full-scale invasion.



Russia, meanwhile, appeared to be buoyed by news that Trump has secured a White House victory.



“Trump has one quality that is useful to us: as a businessman to the core, he mortally dislikes spending money on various hangers-on and freeloaders – on idiotic allies, on stupid charity projects and on gluttonous international organizations,” Dmitry Medvedev, Russia’s former president, said via Telegram, according to an NBC translation.



Russian Foreign Ministry spokesperson Maria Zakharova said via Telegram: “Kamala Harris was right when she quoted Psalm 31:5: ‘Weeping may stay for the night, but rejoicing comes in the morning.’”



“Hallelujah, I’d add from my part,” Zakharova said, according to an NBC translation 



Separately, NATO Secretary-General Mark Rutte said Trump’s leadership would be key to keeping the military alliance strong.



“I look forward to working with him again to advance peace through strength through #NATO,” Rutte said.



<h2 class="wp-block-heading" id="h-turkey-india-australia-israel-and-iran"><a></a>Turkey, India, Australia, Israel and Iran</h2>



Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan congratulated Trump on his election victory.



“In this new period that will begin with the elections of the American people, I hope that Turkey-US relations will strengthen, that regional and global crises and wars, especially the Palestinian issue and the Russia-Ukraine war, will come to an end; I believe that more efforts will be made for a more just world,” Erdoğan said.



“I hope that the elections will be beneficial for our friendly and allied people in the United States and for all of humanity,” he added.



Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi congratulated Trump on his “historic election victory.”



“As you build on the successes of your previous term, I look forward to renewing our collaboration to further strengthen the India-US Comprehensive Global and Strategic Partnership. Together, let’s work for the betterment of our people and to promote global peace, stability and prosperity,” Modi said.



Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese also offered his congratulations to Trump.



“Australians and Americans are great friends and true allies. Working together, we can ensure the partnership between our nations and peoples remains strong into the future,” Albanese said.



Elsewhere, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu offered his congratulations to both Donald and Melania Trump.



“Congratulations on history’s greatest comeback! Your historic return to the White House offers a new beginning for America and a powerful recommitment to the great alliance between Israel and America,” Netanyahu said. “This is a huge victory!” he added.



Not everyone sent their warm wishes to Trump, however.



“The U.S. presidential election holds no direct relevance to Iran, as the fundamental policies of both the United States and Iran remain unchanged,” Iranian government spokesperson Fatemeh Mohajerani said in a statement, according to the country’s semiofficial news agency, Tasnim.



“It makes little difference who becomes president, as there will be no impact on people’s livelihoods,” Mohajerani said.

108012507-1722016734915-gettyimages-2162908988-AA_26072024_1789841

‘A huge victory’: World leaders react as Trump secures White House return

<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="820" height="547" src="https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/GettyImages-2182880212-820x547.jpg" alt="" class="wp-image-550881" srcset="https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/GettyImages-2182880212-820x547.jpg 820w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/GettyImages-2182880212-300x200.jpg 300w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/GettyImages-2182880212-135x90.jpg 135w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/GettyImages-2182880212-768x512.jpg 768w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/GettyImages-2182880212-1536x1024.jpg 1536w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/GettyImages-2182880212-scaled.jpg 2048w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 820px) 100vw, 820px" /><figcaption class="wp-element-caption">RALEIGH, NORTH CAROLINA &#8211; NOVEMBER 04: Republican presidential nominee, former U.S. President Donald Trump takes the stage during a campaign rally at the J.S. Dorton Arena on November 04, 2024 in Raleigh, North Carolina. With one day left before the general election, Trump is campaigning for re-election in the battleground states of North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Michigan. (Photo by Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images)</figcaption></figure>



Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump will defeat his Democratic rival, Kamala Harris, and return to the White House for another four years, NBC News projects.



After losing his reelection bid to President Joe Biden in 2020, Trump, the 45th president, will now become the 47th.



Trump’s victory marks a series of historic firsts. At 78, he is the oldest person ever to win a U.S. presidential election. He will be the first president in 132 years — since Grover Cleveland — to serve two nonconsecutive terms in office. And he emerged victorious from what is likely the most expensive presidential race in history.



He is also the first president, current or former, ever to be convicted of crimes. He is the first twice-impeached president ever to win back the White House. He is the first president ever to take office while fending off criminal charges in multiple active federal and state cases.



Trump’s win denies Harris, the vice president, what would have been her own historic milestone: becoming the first woman president of the United States.



It also represents a staggering political achievement for Trump’s running mate, Sen. JD Vance of Ohio, who won his first election just two years earlier.



Just 40 years old, Vance, a former Trump critic turned loyalist and top advocate for the president-elect’s right-wing populist movement, is now first in the presidential line of succession.



If Trump pursues his campaign promises, his second administration will soon set out to enact an ambitious, controversial agenda centered on deep tax cuts, mass deportations and reshaped relationships with foreign leaders.



Trump has also vowed to impose heavy tariffs, claiming that they will simultaneously boost U.S. revenues, strengthen domestic industries and deter unwanted foreign competition.



Mainstream economists have repeatedly warned that the tariffs, which are taxes paid by U.S. importers, will raise prices on American consumers.



It remains to be seen to what extent Trump’s presidential agenda will resemble the sum of his many claims as a candidate.



He has vowed to pardon his supporters who violently rioted at the U.S. Capitol on Jan. 6, 2021.



He has assured that he will quickly broker an end to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, a vague stance that threatens to undo the Biden administration’s policy of strong support for Kyiv.



He has said he would put Robert F. Kennedy Jr., a vocal vaccine skeptic, in charge of health policy, and tap billionaire Tesla CEO Elon Musk to propose trillions of dollars in government spending cuts.



He has denied Democrats’ warnings that he will behave in office like a dictator, “except for Day One.”



The campaign that delivered Trump’s election was no less historic.



Trump survived an assassination attempt in mid-July, when Thomas Matthew Crooks, a 20-year-old registered Republican who had donated to a Democratic group, opened fire with an AR-15-style rifle during a campaign rally in Pennsylvania. Crooks fatally shot one rally attendee, and one of his bullets grazed Trump’s ear, streaking his face with blood.



Trump’s immediate reaction to the shooting — pumping his fist and defiantly telling his supporters to “fight!” as Secret Service agents rushed him off stage — instantly became a defining moment of the campaign.



Just a few days later, the race was shaken up again.



In late July, Harris, 60, was catapulted to the top of the Democratic presidential ticket after Biden announced he would no longer seek reelection.



Biden’s stunning decision, which made him the first incumbent president since Lyndon Johnson to voluntarily end his White House stay, was one he had initially resisted.



The 81-year-old and his allies, including Harris, had vociferously defended his physical and mental fitness for four more years as president.



But a simmering undercurrent of Democratic uneasiness dramatically boiled over after a shocking debate performance in late June, when a frail and distracted-looking Biden delivered raspy, halting and inarticulate answers versus Trump.



Less than a month later, amid a collapse in internal support and dwindling poll numbers, Biden ended his campaign and backed Harris as his replacement.



The switch effectively reset the race, forcing Trump to throw out many of his well-rehearsed attacks and adapt to an opponent unburdened by Biden’s most glaring weaknesses.



It wasn’t a seamless transition: Harris bested Trump in the candidates’ one and only debate in mid-September, and Trump declined her repeated challenges to face off again.



But polls gradually showed the race tightening, as Trump’s campaign worked to blame Harris for the inflation and immigration woes that had dragged down Biden’s approval ratings throughout his presidency.



This is breaking news. Please check back for updates.

Donald Trump Campaigns For President In Raleigh, North Carolina

Donald Trump defeats Kamala Harris to win 2024 presidential election

<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="820" height="547" src="https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/GettyImages-1569339526-820x547.jpg" alt="" class="wp-image-550863" srcset="https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/GettyImages-1569339526-820x547.jpg 820w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/GettyImages-1569339526-300x200.jpg 300w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/GettyImages-1569339526-135x90.jpg 135w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/GettyImages-1569339526-768x512.jpg 768w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/GettyImages-1569339526-1536x1024.jpg 1536w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/GettyImages-1569339526-scaled.jpg 2048w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 820px) 100vw, 820px" /><figcaption class="wp-element-caption">A line of trucks along the N4 national highway, wait to cross South Africa&#8217;s border into Mozambique, on the outskirts of Komatipoort, South Africa, on Friday, July 14, 2023. An often impenetrable logjam of trucks laden with coal at South Africa&#8217;s crossing with Mozambique has brought chaos to the sleepy border town Komatipoort. Photographer: Leon Sadiki/Bloomberg via Getty Images</figcaption></figure>



JOHANNESBURG, Nov 6 (Reuters) &#8211; South Africa has temporarily closed its main border crossing with Mozambique over safety concerns, its government news agency said on Wednesday, as protests against last month&#8217;s disputed election in Mozambique continue to escalate.



South Africa has closed the Lebombo port of entry in its Mpumalanga province after receiving reports of vehicles being torched on the Mozambican side, the government news agency said.



&#8220;Due to these security incidents and in the interest of public safety, the port has been temporarily closed until further notice,&#8221; it quoted Michael Masiapato, the commissioner of the Border Management Authority as saying on Tuesday night.



Masiapato said the border authority would reopen the Lebombo crossing as soon as it was safe to do so.



The latest protests in Mozambique are part of a week of demonstrations called by presidential candidate Venancio Mondlane, who came second in official results for the Oct. 9 election but claims to have won.



The protests are set to culminate in a &#8220;national shutdown&#8221; and march on the capital Maputo on Thursday.



At least 10 people have been killed and scores injured in protests in which demonstrators have burned tires, blocked roads and marched to offices of the ruling party, Frelimo. Authorities have responded with tear gas and live ammunition, according to human rights groups, and restricted access to the internet.



The electoral commission has declined to comment on opposition allegations of fraud, while Frelimo has not replied to requests for comment.



(Reporting by Bhargav Acharya and Sisipho Skweyiya in Johannesburg and Manuel Mucari in Maputo; Editing by Alexander Winning and Ros Russell)

Global Demand for Coal Is Bringing Mayhem to South African Border Town

South Africa closes main border with Mozambique as post-election protests escalate

<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="820" height="547" src="https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/108058638-1730878289255-gettyimages-2183214745-_s1_8329_zo2b6egr-820x547.jpeg" alt="" class="wp-image-550810" srcset="https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/108058638-1730878289255-gettyimages-2183214745-_s1_8329_zo2b6egr-820x547.jpeg 820w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/108058638-1730878289255-gettyimages-2183214745-_s1_8329_zo2b6egr-300x200.jpeg 300w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/108058638-1730878289255-gettyimages-2183214745-_s1_8329_zo2b6egr-135x90.jpeg 135w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/108058638-1730878289255-gettyimages-2183214745-_s1_8329_zo2b6egr-768x512.jpeg 768w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/108058638-1730878289255-gettyimages-2183214745-_s1_8329_zo2b6egr-1536x1024.jpeg 1536w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/108058638-1730878289255-gettyimages-2183214745-_s1_8329_zo2b6egr-scaled.jpeg 2048w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 820px) 100vw, 820px" /><figcaption class="wp-element-caption">Republican presidential nominee, former U.S. President Donald Trump arrives to speak during an election night event at the Palm Beach Convention Center on November 06, 2024 in West Palm Beach, Florida. 
Chip Somodevilla | Getty Images</figcaption></figure>



Donald Trump declared victory in the presidential election early Wednesday morning, as the Republican led Kamala Harris in projected Electoral College votes in the presidential election.



Neither Trump nor Harris has secured the 270 Electoral College votes needed to win the White House, but after NBC News projected he will win Pennsylvania, the former president was just four electoral votes short of that goal.



“I want to thank the American people for the extraordinary honor of being elected your 47th president and your 45th president,” Trump told supporters at the West Palm Beach, Florida, Convention Center, where he was flanked by family members and top members of his campaign.



“We’re going to help our country heal,” Trump said. “We’re going to fix everything about our country.”



“We made history for a reason tonight,” he said. “This will truly be the golden age of America.”



Trump during his speech praised Tesla CEO Elon Musk for supporting him in his campaign, which included the “We have a new star, a star is born, Elon!” Trump said of Musk, who is the richest person in the world.



Trump also touted his support from Robert F. Kennedy Jr., the independent candidate who ended his campaign for president.



Trump said Kennedy, a vaccine skeptic and conspiracy theorist, would play a key role in determining health-care policy in his administration.



Harris had been expected to address her own supporters Tuesday night at the Democrat’s alma mater, Howard University, in Washington, D.C.



But the vice president opted not to speak, and instead plans to do so later Wednesday.



This is developing news. Check back for updates.

108058638-1730878289255-gettyimages-2183214745-_s1_8329_zo2b6egr

Trump declares victory as presidential race with Harris has yet to be called

<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="820" height="547" src="https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/CSTYBJFNSZMW3KMGGHXBEM6LOY-820x547.jpg" alt="" class="wp-image-550807" srcset="https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/CSTYBJFNSZMW3KMGGHXBEM6LOY-820x547.jpg 820w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/CSTYBJFNSZMW3KMGGHXBEM6LOY-300x200.jpg 300w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/CSTYBJFNSZMW3KMGGHXBEM6LOY-135x90.jpg 135w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/CSTYBJFNSZMW3KMGGHXBEM6LOY-768x512.jpg 768w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/CSTYBJFNSZMW3KMGGHXBEM6LOY-1536x1024.jpg 1536w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/CSTYBJFNSZMW3KMGGHXBEM6LOY-scaled.jpg 2048w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 820px) 100vw, 820px" /><figcaption class="wp-element-caption">FILE PHOTO: Electric wires are pictured in the Ojuelegba district of Nigeria&#8217;s commercial capital Lagos, June 18, 2018. REUTERS/Akintunde Akinleye/File Photo</figcaption></figure>



ABUJA, (Reuters) &#8211; Nigeria&#8217;s national grid suffered a partial collapse on Tuesday, the state power transmitter said, marking the ninth incident this year to have caused power outages across the country.



The Transmission Company of Nigeria (TCN) said the grid experienced a disturbance at around 1252 GMT, triggered by a series of line and generator trips destabilising the system.



While some regions, including the capital Abuja, regained power about an hour after the collapse, outages continued elsewhere.



&#8220;TCN engineers are already working to quickly restore bulk power supply to the states affected by the partial disturbance,&#8221; spokesperson Ndidi Mbah said.



Blackouts are frequent in Nigeria, Africa&#8217;s most populous country with over 200 million people, due to ageing power infrastructure, vandalism and inadequate gas supply for its thermal plants, which account for over 75% of output.



Although Nigeria has the infrastructure to generate about 13,000 megawatts of power, its creaking grid can only distribute a third of it, forcing businesses and households to run costly fuel generators.



(Reporting by Camillus Eboh in Abuja; writing by Elisha Bala-Gbogbo; editing by Mark Heinrich)

FILE PHOTO: Electric wires are pictured in Ojuelegba district in Nigeria’s commercial capital Lagos

Nigeria’s power grid partially collapses again, causing blackouts

<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="820" height="461" src="https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/108057899-1730826084038-gettyimages-1397086774-usabtcfranklin-1-820x461.jpeg" alt="" class="wp-image-550762" srcset="https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/108057899-1730826084038-gettyimages-1397086774-usabtcfranklin-1-820x461.jpeg 820w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/108057899-1730826084038-gettyimages-1397086774-usabtcfranklin-1-300x169.jpeg 300w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/108057899-1730826084038-gettyimages-1397086774-usabtcfranklin-1-160x90.jpeg 160w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/108057899-1730826084038-gettyimages-1397086774-usabtcfranklin-1-768x432.jpeg 768w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/108057899-1730826084038-gettyimages-1397086774-usabtcfranklin-1-1536x864.jpeg 1536w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/108057899-1730826084038-gettyimages-1397086774-usabtcfranklin-1.jpeg 1858w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 820px) 100vw, 820px" /><figcaption class="wp-element-caption">Photo: via CNBC</figcaption></figure>



Bitcoin rallied overnight, hitting an all-time high as investors bet former President Donald Trump was gaining an edge in the U.S. election as results rolled in.



The price of the flagship cryptocurrency touched a record $75,000 on the nose, according to Coin Metrics. It was last higher by 7% at $74,392.00. It first hit its previous record of $73,797.68 on March 14 and has traded in a narrow range below $70,000 for most of the year since then.



Bitcoin’s overnight gains increased as Trump took an early lead in the Electoral College. NBC News has projected that Trump has won 230 electoral college votes, including the battleground state of North Carolina.



Exchange operator Coinbase rose 3% in after hours trading, while MicroStrategy, advanced 4%.



Investors expect bitcoin trading to be choppy until a clear winner is declared. A victory for Vice President Kamala Harris is expected to bring risk of downside moves to the price of bitcoin, while traders anticipate a bump in price in the event of a win by former President Donald Trump.



“The election is having a massive influence on crypto,” said Ryan Rasmussen, head of research at Bitwise Asset Management. “Expect bitcoin – and crypto more broadly – to be choppy in the days ahead … until we have definitive election results.”



“If Trump wins, I believe we’ll see new all-time highs,” Rasmussen added. “If Harris wins, I expect a decent short-term sell-off, with prices taking a month or two to recover. But eventually, either way, I think we go higher.”



In the 2012, 2016 and 2020 elections, bitcoin saw returns of roughly 87%, 44% and 145% in the 90 days following election day, respectively. That’s in part because election years happen to fall on Bitcoin halving years, when the supply of the cryptocurrency ratchets downward. Post election returns have also tended to align with major Federal Reserve policy shifts. This year, the market is looking forward to further interest rate reductions.



At just below $70,000, bitcoin has been trading at its fair value price heading into election day, according to CryptoQuant. That means that if the election proves to be a positive catalyst in the coming days, bitcoin can rally and is poised to establish a new record, CryptoQuant analyst Julio Moreno said.



“For now, everyone we’ve spoken to is keeping their powder dry,” said James Davies, CEO at crypto futures and options trading platform Crypto Valley Exchange. “I’ve heard from numerous leading market makers and traders and can say with conviction that almost everyone is set up to react. They don’t even know which way markets will go based on [the] result. There’s likely to be massive short-term volatility whichever outcome.”



This year’s presidential election has been called the most important one in the crypto industry’s lifetime. Many view a Harris win as a threat to crypto, the extent to which has been debated throughout this election cycle. Trump, on the other hand, is seen by many as a force for good in the industry after he presented himself earlier this year as the pro-crypto candidate and has been courting the industry more directly than Harris has.



Many voters are concerned about the state of the government deficit, which rose 8% in the 2024 fiscal year to $1.8 trillion, and increased tax cuts promised by both candidates. Bitcoin, like gold, is seen by many investors as a hedge against the potential for fiscal and monetary policy that combine to reduce the value of the dollar and lift inflation.

108057899-1730826084038-gettyimages-1397086774-usabtcfranklin

Bitcoin surges to $75,000, a new record, as traders bet Trump has election edge

<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="820" height="547" src="https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/LXEWBEEOYBIMNLXCE2JBHD6CJY-2-820x547.jpg" alt="" class="wp-image-550516" srcset="https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/LXEWBEEOYBIMNLXCE2JBHD6CJY-2-820x547.jpg 820w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/LXEWBEEOYBIMNLXCE2JBHD6CJY-2-300x200.jpg 300w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/LXEWBEEOYBIMNLXCE2JBHD6CJY-2-135x90.jpg 135w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/LXEWBEEOYBIMNLXCE2JBHD6CJY-2-768x512.jpg 768w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/LXEWBEEOYBIMNLXCE2JBHD6CJY-2-1536x1024.jpg 1536w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/LXEWBEEOYBIMNLXCE2JBHD6CJY-2-scaled.jpg 2048w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 820px) 100vw, 820px" /><figcaption class="wp-element-caption">Prince William, Prince of Wales, meets the President of South Africa, Cyril Ramaphosa, at his Official Residence in Cape Town, South Africa, November 5, 2024. Victoria Jones/Pool via REUTERS</figcaption></figure>



CAPE TOWN, Nov 5 (Reuters)&nbsp;&#8211;&nbsp;Britain&#8217;s Prince William paid a visit to South African President Cyril Ramaphosa on Tuesday in Cape Town after taking a nature walk with rangers and conservationists at Table Mountain National Park.



The Prince of Wales is on a four-day&nbsp;trip to South Africa&nbsp;for the annual awards ceremony of his Earthshot Prize, which will be held on Wednesday. He will also attend a global wildlife summit and hold other climate-focused engagements.



Video footage shared by Ramaphosa&#8217;s office showed William and Ramaphosa shaking hands and exchanging pleasantries at the start of their meeting.



&#8220;The visit is indicative of the strong ties the United Kingdom, including the Royal Family, share with South Africa, and also another step towards the deepening of these historic ties,&#8221; South Africa&#8217;s presidency said in a statement.



The presidency said South Africa was pleased to host this year&#8217;s Earthshot Prize awards because it highlights the impact climate change and environmental degradation have in Africa.



Launched in 2020, the prize aims to find innovations to combat climate and other green issues, and awards five winners 1 million pounds ($1.3 million) each to drive their projects.



(Writing by Nellie Peyton; Editing by Alexander Winning and Alison Williams)

Britain’s Prince William’s four-day visit to South Africa

Prince William meets President Ramaphosa on South Africa trip

<figure class="wp-block-image size-full"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="1920" height="1005" src="https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/3GQDJSI4GBKYFLS5LW25CALRGU.avif" alt="" class="wp-image-550496"/><figcaption class="wp-element-caption">Shoppers walk within Merkato, one of Africa&#8217;s biggest open air market, in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia, April 25, 2024. REUTERS/Tiksa Negeri/File Photo</figcaption></figure>



NAIROBI, Nov 5 (Reuters)&nbsp;&#8211;&nbsp;The International Monetary Fund has raised Ethiopia&#8217;s net international reserves target to facilitate payments of upcoming hard currency bills, the Fund said.



The East African nation secured a $3.4 billion, four-year financing program from the IMF in July after carrying out a series of reforms including floating its birr currency. It is also in the midst of a fresh push to put its debt restructuring back on track.



&#8220;An increase in near-term target is warranted by Ethiopia&#8217;s vulnerabilities and heightened uncertainty around outlook,&#8221; the IMF said in a report published late on Monday.



Lower-than-expected volumes of hard currency sales by the central bank through auctions and higher gold exports contributed to an over-performance of the net international reserves target for August, the IMF said.



The net international reserves stood at $1.3 billion in mid-August, more than double the target of $630 million, the Fund said.



It raised the end-June 2025 target by $300 million to $400 million, to help create a buffer for the country to settle maturing letters of credit for fuel imports issued before reforms started.



The flotation of the birr currency resulted in the convergence of the official and the black market rates, the IMF said, but market activities had picked up at a slower pace than expected, leading to persistent unmet demand for dollars.



Ethiopia plans to reach a deal with bilateral creditors by year-end, the Fund said, followed by a deal with its Eurobond investors &#8220;as soon as is feasible&#8221; after that.



Bondholders have rejected the size of the proposed reduction in the principal amount, known as a haircut, indicated at 18% in a recent investor presentation, saying the government was ignoring the fact that Ethiopia faces a liquidity issue, not an insolvency one.



&#8220;The authorities are making good faith efforts to agree terms with Eurobond holders,&#8221; the IMF said.



(Reporting by Duncan Miriri; Editing by Bernadette Baum)

3GQDJSI4GBKYFLS5LW25CALRGU

IMF raises Ethiopia’s international reserves target after first review

<figure class="wp-block-image size-full"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="1920" height="1005" src="https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/WH675YVHBZPIZNYJUJB4CMI73E.avif" alt="" class="wp-image-550493"/><figcaption class="wp-element-caption">A view shows a toll station on the Expressway undertaken by the China Road and Bridge Corporation (CRBC) on a public-private partnership (PPP) basis, in Nairobi, Kenya May 8, 2022. REUTERS/Thomas Mukoya/File Photo</figcaption></figure>



NAIROBI, Nov 5 (Reuters)&nbsp;&#8211;&nbsp;Kenya&#8217;s private sector saw a modest improvement in business conditions in October, as activity levels and employment returned to growth, an S&amp;P Global survey showed on Tuesday.



The headline Purchasing Managers&#8217; Index (PMI) rose to 50.4 in October from 49.7 in September, indicating a marginal upturn in the health of the private sector. A PMI reading above 50.0 signals growth, while below that level indicates contraction.



Business activity increased for the second time in three months, driven by rising sales and greater client interest, despite ongoing cash flow challenges and political uncertainty. Employment levels also rose for the first time since July, although the pace of job creation was mild.



&#8220;Despite the slight rise in output, many firms continued to struggle with cash flow constraints, tough economic conditions, rising costs and political uncertainty,&#8221; the survey reported.



Purchasing efforts accelerated, leading to the most significant increase in inventories since August 2023, as firms stocked up in anticipation of new customers. Input cost pressures remained mild, resulting in only a slight rise in average prices charged.



Confidence regarding future activity rose to a four-month high, with firms planning new outlets and investments in products and marketing. However, sentiment remained subdued compared to historical trends.



While input prices rose modestly, driven by higher tax payments and material costs, reduced fuel prices helped keep cost burdens lower than last year. As a result, the increase in selling prices was among the slowest in nearly four years.



(Reporting by Reuters; Editing by Toby Chopra)

WH675YVHBZPIZNYJUJB4CMI73E

Kenya’s private sector activity returns to growth in October, PMI shows

<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="820" height="522" src="https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/KZ4R5MANMJIQPBC4GDTYRR7RTA-820x522.jpg" alt="" class="wp-image-550420" srcset="https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/KZ4R5MANMJIQPBC4GDTYRR7RTA-820x522.jpg 820w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/KZ4R5MANMJIQPBC4GDTYRR7RTA-300x191.jpg 300w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/KZ4R5MANMJIQPBC4GDTYRR7RTA-141x90.jpg 141w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/KZ4R5MANMJIQPBC4GDTYRR7RTA-768x489.jpg 768w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/KZ4R5MANMJIQPBC4GDTYRR7RTA-1536x977.jpg 1536w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/KZ4R5MANMJIQPBC4GDTYRR7RTA-scaled.jpg 2048w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 820px) 100vw, 820px" /><figcaption class="wp-element-caption">FILE PHOTO: A teller is seen at a Pick n Pay store at Maponya mall in Soweto, South Africa, October 20, 2022. REUTERS/Siphiwe Sibeko/File photo</figcaption></figure>



JOHANNESBURG, Nov 5 (Reuters)&nbsp;&#8211;&nbsp;South Africa&#8217;s private sector maintained its growth trajectory in October, bolstered by a decline in business costs and selling prices, a Purchasing Managers&#8217; Index (PMI) survey showed on Tuesday.



The S&amp;P Global South Africa PMI recorded a reading of 50.6, slightly down from September&#8217;s 51.0, but still above the 50.0 mark that indicates growth.



The PMI has now signalled expansion for three consecutive months.



New orders continued to grow, marking the longest period of expansion since mid-2022, although the pace slowed to a marginal rate. The growth was primarily driven by the industry and wholesale &amp; retail sectors, while construction and services lagged.



A notable development was the first drop in input costs in over four years, driven by a strong rand, lower fuel prices and reduced interest rates. This allowed firms to cut selling prices, boosting customer spending.



&#8220;October was another strong month for the South African economy,&#8221; said David Owen, senior economist at S&amp;P Global Market Intelligence.



&#8220;The survey data also provided further evidence that inflationary pressures are falling.&#8221;



Despite rising sales, employment decreased for the fifth consecutive month as firms remained cautious about costs. However, input purchases rose for the first time since May, with firms increasing inventories amid improving demand and lower borrowing costs.



Business confidence improved, with 52% of respondents expecting output to rise over the next year, citing political stability and improved power availability as key factors. Nonetheless, challenges remain, with delivery delays persisting due to domestic port congestion.



(Reporting by South Africa bureau; Editing by Toby Chopra)

A teller is seen at a Pick n Pay store

South Africa’s private sector growth sustained in October as costs fall, PMI shows

<figure class="wp-block-image size-full"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="2048" height="1365" src="https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/4IJSVHM2FFM5LEEQMNYEX3P3XQ-scaled.jpg" alt="" class="wp-image-550389" srcset="https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/4IJSVHM2FFM5LEEQMNYEX3P3XQ-scaled.jpg 2048w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/4IJSVHM2FFM5LEEQMNYEX3P3XQ-300x200.jpg 300w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/4IJSVHM2FFM5LEEQMNYEX3P3XQ-820x547.jpg 820w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/4IJSVHM2FFM5LEEQMNYEX3P3XQ-135x90.jpg 135w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/4IJSVHM2FFM5LEEQMNYEX3P3XQ-768x512.jpg 768w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/4IJSVHM2FFM5LEEQMNYEX3P3XQ-1536x1024.jpg 1536w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 2048px) 100vw, 2048px" /><figcaption class="wp-element-caption">David Lammy arrives at 10 Downing Street, following the results of the election, in London, Britain, July 5, 2024. REUTERS/Hannah McKay</figcaption></figure>



ABUJA, (Reuters) &#8211; Nigeria and Britain said on Monday they had established a strategic partnership to boost economic growth, strengthen security cooperation and enhance personal ties.



Nigerian Foreign Minister Yusuf Tuggar and his British counterpart David Lammy outlined a partnership that also seeks to reinforce ongoing security and counter-terrorism efforts.



&#8220;By advancing our economic ties through investments and trade, we can unlock substantial growth for both nations, drive job creation and enhance local value addition,&#8221; Tuggar said during a joint press conference in Abuja, Nigeria&#8217;s capital.



Lammy, who is on his first official visit to Africa as Foreign Secretary, emphasized Britain&#8217;s commitment to a long-term partnership with Nigeria.



&#8220;It is an overarching framework for our relationship covering the breadth of things that we do together,&#8221; said Lammy, who also highlighted the importance of addressing economic growth, climate change, and security threats.



Lammy also stressed personal connections, adding that the sizeable Nigerian diaspora in Britain offers the potential for increased cultural exchange and economic cooperation.



(Reporting by Felix Onuah; Writing by Elisha Bala-Gbogbo; Editing by Alexander Smith)

Parliamentary election in Britain

Nigeria and Britain hail partnership to boost economic ties, security

<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="820" height="574" src="https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/SN44UK6HYFKKVFUVO3DEF3KYNI-820x574.jpg" alt="" class="wp-image-550158" srcset="https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/SN44UK6HYFKKVFUVO3DEF3KYNI-820x574.jpg 820w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/SN44UK6HYFKKVFUVO3DEF3KYNI-300x210.jpg 300w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/SN44UK6HYFKKVFUVO3DEF3KYNI-129x90.jpg 129w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/SN44UK6HYFKKVFUVO3DEF3KYNI-768x537.jpg 768w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/SN44UK6HYFKKVFUVO3DEF3KYNI-1536x1074.jpg 1536w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/SN44UK6HYFKKVFUVO3DEF3KYNI-scaled.jpg 2048w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 820px) 100vw, 820px" /><figcaption class="wp-element-caption">Britain&#8217;s Prince William arrives at Cape Town International Airport for a 4 day visit where he will present the 4th annual Earthshot Prize in Cape Town, South Africa, November 4, 2024.REUTERS/Esa Alexander</figcaption></figure>



CAPE TOWN, Nov 4 (Reuters) &#8211; Britain&#8217;s Prince William landed in Cape Town on Monday for a four-day trip to South Africa centred on his annual Earthshot Prize for environmental innovators.



The heir to the British throne will attend a global wildlife summit and meet with South African President Cyril Ramaphosa during the trip, which is his first to South Africa since 2010.



On Wednesday he will participate in the awards ceremony for the Earthshot Prize, which gives five winners 1 million pounds ($1.3 million) each to pursue projects addressing climate change and other environmental issues.



William launched the prize in 2020, inspired by a visit to Namibia. Its name is a nod to former U.S. President John F. Kennedy&#8217;s ambitious &#8220;moonshot&#8221; project which led to the 1969 lunar landing.



&#8220;By the end of the week, I want The Earthshot Prize to have provided a platform to all those innovators bringing about change for their communities, encouraged potential investors to speed African solutions to scale and inspired young people across Africa who are engaged in climate issues,&#8221; he said in a statement ahead of the visit.



The Prince Of Wales is making the trip alone as his wife Kate is still managing a return to work after finishing a course of preventative chemotherapy for cancer.



South Africa is a former British colony and some people there have called for the return of diamonds originally discovered in the country and then set in the British crown jewels.



($1 = 0.7717 pounds)



(Reporting by Esa Alexander; Writing by Nellie Peyton; Editing by Olivia Kumwenda-Mtambo and Gareth Jones)

Britain’s Prince William arrives in South Africa

UK’s Prince William arrives in South Africa for climate-focused trip

<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="820" height="590" src="https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/5U27LJVU5BN7XKS2NTCXPR65SQ-820x590.jpg" alt="" class="wp-image-550088" srcset="https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/5U27LJVU5BN7XKS2NTCXPR65SQ-820x590.jpg 820w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/5U27LJVU5BN7XKS2NTCXPR65SQ-300x216.jpg 300w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/5U27LJVU5BN7XKS2NTCXPR65SQ-125x90.jpg 125w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/5U27LJVU5BN7XKS2NTCXPR65SQ-768x553.jpg 768w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/5U27LJVU5BN7XKS2NTCXPR65SQ-1536x1105.jpg 1536w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/5U27LJVU5BN7XKS2NTCXPR65SQ-scaled.jpg 2048w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 820px) 100vw, 820px" /><figcaption class="wp-element-caption">FILE PHOTO: A branch of South African mobile communications provider Vodacom in Cape Town is shown in this picture taken November 10, 2015. REUTERS/Mike Hutchings/File Photo</figcaption></figure>



JOHANNESBURG, Nov 4 (Reuters)&nbsp;&#8211;&nbsp;The Competition Tribunal&#8217;s decision to block a merger between Vodacom and a major fibre operator will likely derail a push by South African telecoms firms to use big M&amp;A deals as a shortcut to digital infrastructure expansion, analysts said.



The ruling,&nbsp;<a href="https://www.reutersconnect.com/all?search=all%3AL1N3M50FV&amp;linkedFromStory=true" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">which blocked</a>&nbsp;South Africa&#8217;s top telco from taking a 30% stake in major fibre operator Maziv, could force companies to build their own networks or pursue smaller, less controversial tie-ups, delaying much-needed investment by years.



For Andrew Bahlmann of M&amp;A advisory firm Deal Leaders International, it is a setback for the entire industry.



&#8220;For telcos and fibre network operators contemplating future mergers, this prohibition of a merger for which the business case was clearly positive indicates that the path to consolidation is fraught with challenges,&#8221; he said.



The communications sector in Africa&#8217;s most advanced economy needs significant capital injections to ramp up infrastructure development, particularly if connectivity is to be improved in low income and rural areas.



Dominant companies like Vodacom&nbsp;VODJ.J&nbsp;and MTN&nbsp;MTNJ.J&nbsp;say mergers would allow them to leverage existing networks as a springboard to extending and improving coverage. And some smaller firms, including fibre operators, say tie-ups would provide the funding they need to grow.



But regulators fear that consolidation could lead to higher prices, less choice and lower quality for consumers.



The tribunal has yet to detail the grounds for Tuesday&#8217;s ruling, and Vodacom, which is majority-owned by Britain&#8217;s Vodafone&nbsp;VOD.L, said it was considering an appeal.



The South African Competition Commission, which testified before the tribunal that the deal would open the door to further consolidation and harm consumers, welcomed the decision.



But Old Mutual Wealth Private Client research analyst Tasneem Samodien said it would likely lead to stagnation.



&#8220;What it does is delay investment by current market participants until they determine a commercially viable path to scale,&#8221; Samodien said.



&#8220;For consumers, particularly those in outlying areas where network connection is relatively poor, the roll out of infrastructure could be delayed.&#8221;



<h2 class="wp-block-heading" id="h-inevitable-consolidation">INEVITABLE CONSOLIDATION?</h2>



Both Vodacom and MTN have been aggressively rolling out fixed-wireless networks that use 4G and 5G, while also investing in their small fibre businesses. But as they do this, they require more access to fibre links that carry mobile traffic from base stations back to the core network.



South Africa&#8217;s existing installed fibre capacity is owned by a number of operators of varying sizes. Tying up with them could give the mobile operators access to fibre networks while providing fibre companies capital to expand to new areas.



MTN has called consolidation in the sector &#8220;inevitable and even desirable&#8221;. But even before last week&#8217;s ruling, mergers were facing challenges, mainly over regulatory concerns.



In 2022, MTN&#8217;s talks to buy out smaller rival Telkom fell through. And last year, Rain&#8217;s push to be bought by Telkom ended without a deal.



Vodacom had pledged that much of the 6-9 billion rand ($342-512 million) in cash it was offering as part of the Maziv bid would go to infrastructure investment. It said a further 10 billion rand over five years would target investment in mainly low income areas.



But that was not enough to win over the tribunal.



That now leaves the company, and the sector more broadly, with slow and costly expansion options.



&#8220;Vodacom can continue with its own fibre network rollout and consider merging with several other small regional fibre operators,&#8221; Peter Takaendesa, head of equities at Mergence Investment Managers, said.



Vodacom&nbsp;declined to&nbsp;comment.



But analysts say that the Competition Tribunal&#8217;s decision will make M&amp;A deals in South Africa&#8217;s telecoms sector much less attractive to capital.



And even with financing, factors including environmental approval timelines and fibre equipment supply chains mean the big mobile operators have a long road ahead if they are to make up ground on existing fibre networks.



&#8220;My guess is five to 10 years,&#8221; Takaendesa said.



($1 = 17.5575 rand)



(Reporting by Nqobile Dludla; Editing by Joe Bavier and Mark Potter)

FILE PHOTO: A branch of South African mobile communications provider Vodacom in Cape Town

Blocked Vodacom merger derails S.African telcos M&A push, analysts say

<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="820" height="547" src="https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/ADDMXWU7SBNXBLLKVIVC7QKI2I-820x547.jpg" alt="" class="wp-image-550050" srcset="https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/ADDMXWU7SBNXBLLKVIVC7QKI2I-820x547.jpg 820w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/ADDMXWU7SBNXBLLKVIVC7QKI2I-300x200.jpg 300w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/ADDMXWU7SBNXBLLKVIVC7QKI2I-135x90.jpg 135w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/ADDMXWU7SBNXBLLKVIVC7QKI2I-768x512.jpg 768w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/ADDMXWU7SBNXBLLKVIVC7QKI2I-1536x1024.jpg 1536w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/ADDMXWU7SBNXBLLKVIVC7QKI2I-scaled.jpg 2048w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 820px) 100vw, 820px" /><figcaption class="wp-element-caption">Botswana opposition leader Duma Boko smiles, after his party UDC won the general election, outside his home in Gaborone, Botswana November 1, 2024 REUTERS/Thalefang Charles</figcaption></figure>



GABORONE, Nov 1 (Reuters) &#8211; Botswana&#8217;s new president, Duma Boko, said on Friday he wanted to conclude talks for a new sales pact with global diamonds giant De Beers as soon as possible.



De Beers, a unit of mining company Anglo American&nbsp;AAL.L, last year agreed a new diamond sales pact, which would see the government&#8217;s share of diamonds from the Debswana joint venture gradually increase to 50% over the next decade. Debswana Diamond Company, equally owned by Botswana and De Beers, currently sells 75% of its output to De Beers.



Although the Botswana government and the country&#8217;s outgoing president, Mokgweetsi Masisi, touted the merits of the deal, it has yet to be signed.



Boko, who took office on Friday after an election that dealt a stinging defeat to Masisi&#8217;s party, said De Beers had been &#8220;considering walking away, not signing at all &#8230; (a) very dangerous position to be in as a country.&#8221;



&#8220;The relationship with De Beers could have been damaged by the way the negotiations were handled,&#8221; he said in a televised statement. &#8220;The first thing that needs to be done is to engage the other party.&#8221;



Boko added that his new administration wants to engage with De Beers to understand its concerns.



&#8220;A proper negotiation involves compromise, where you get a bit of what you wanted, the other person gets a bit,&#8221; he said. &#8220;Then &#8230; you have a durable, sustainable agreement.&#8221;



In an emailed comment, a De Beers spokesperson said: &#8220;We will continue to work with Botswana&#8217;s Government in support of shared objectives, as we always have.&#8221;



Anglo American is looking to divest De Beers as part of a broader restructuring of its sprawling business. Masisi had said in July the Botswana government may raise its shareholding in De Beers from its current 15%.



Anglo American&#8217;s process could become easier now that the election in Botswana has been concluded, diamond mining industry analyst Paul Zimnisky said.



&#8220;Diamonds by far represent the most important industry for Botswana, so this has to be one of the front and centre issues for the (new) president,&#8221; Zimnisky said. &#8220;I would expect to see progress on this front now.&#8221;



Like other luxury goods, diamond prices have been hammered by a slump in global demand. Sales of rough diamonds at Debswana fell about 52% in the first nine months of 2024, according to data released by Botswana&#8217;s central bank on Tuesday.



(Reporting by Brian Benza in Gaborone, Felix Njini in Johannesburg, Clara Denina in LondonEditing by Mark Potter, Ros Russell and Frances Kerry)

Botswana opposition leader Duma Boko

Botswana’s new president aims to clinch De Beers diamond sales pact soon

<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="820" height="461" src="https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/106621131-15949940512020-07-16t171324z_1245378320_rc2huh9ed5wu_rtrmadp_0_usa-china-travel-820x461.jpeg" alt="" class="wp-image-550005" srcset="https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/106621131-15949940512020-07-16t171324z_1245378320_rc2huh9ed5wu_rtrmadp_0_usa-china-travel-820x461.jpeg 820w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/106621131-15949940512020-07-16t171324z_1245378320_rc2huh9ed5wu_rtrmadp_0_usa-china-travel-300x169.jpeg 300w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/106621131-15949940512020-07-16t171324z_1245378320_rc2huh9ed5wu_rtrmadp_0_usa-china-travel-160x90.jpeg 160w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/106621131-15949940512020-07-16t171324z_1245378320_rc2huh9ed5wu_rtrmadp_0_usa-china-travel-768x432.jpeg 768w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/106621131-15949940512020-07-16t171324z_1245378320_rc2huh9ed5wu_rtrmadp_0_usa-china-travel-1536x864.jpeg 1536w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/106621131-15949940512020-07-16t171324z_1245378320_rc2huh9ed5wu_rtrmadp_0_usa-china-travel.jpeg 1858w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 820px) 100vw, 820px" /><figcaption class="wp-element-caption">A flag stall at the Yiwu Wholesale Market in Zhejiang province, China, on May 10, 2019. Aly Song | Reuters</figcaption></figure>



BEIJING — The size of China’s highly anticipated stimulus plans will likely depend on the outcome of the U.S. presidential election, analysts said.



Investors expect Beijing to announce details on fiscal support Friday. That’s when the standing committee of the National People’s Congress — China’s parliament — is due to wrap up a five-day meeting. The same gathering last year oversaw a rare increase in the fiscal deficit.



This year, the meeting’s timing means any details will be out just days after the U.S. has voted Republican nominee Donald Trump or Democrat rival Kamala Harris in as the next president. Polls are set to close Tuesday local time.



“The size of China’s fiscal stimulus package would be around 10~20% bigger under a Trump win than under the scenario of a Harris win,” Ting Lu, chief China economist at Nomura, said in a note last week.



He cautioned that most of China’s challenges are domestic, though there will be some impact from the U.S. election result.



Trump has threatened to raise tariffs on U.S. imports from China by 60% — or reportedly by even 200% in an extreme scenario. Harris, currently vice president, has not yet signaled a major departure from the Biden administration’s approach of restricting China’s access to advanced technology.



More tariffs would hit China’s exports, a bright spot in an economy grappling with a real estate slump and tepid consumer demand.



Increased trade restrictions would require China to rely more on domestic demand to boost growth, Zhu Bin, chief economist of Nanhua Futures, said in a video presentation last week. That’s according to a CNBC translation of his Mandarin-language comments.



“Without question we can be certain of one thing — if Trump wins the election, China’s domestic stimulus will only be larger, not smaller,” Zhu said. He expects Trump has a greater chance of winning, which he said would increase downward pressure on the Chinese yuan versus the U.S. dollar.



Political analysts debate whether China’s relations with the U.S. would be better under Trump or Harris.



“I think at this point, probably from China’s view, a potential president Harris [makes it] easier to expect what policies likely come,” said Liqian Ren, leader of quantitative investment at WisdomTree.



That doesn’t mean Beijing will embark on large-scale support. Chinese authorities are “constrained by the U.S.-China competition, so the priority number one is to be able to upgrade technology across the board,” She said. “I think as long as that’s your goal then the government’s willingness to stimulate is still going to be lukewarm.”



Ren expects the scale of stimulus will be determined not by who wins the election, but the stock market reaction.



Market volatility in China, but not the United states, is likely to make “China feel more obligated to counter this volatility,” she said. In contrast to three or four years ago, Ren said, Chinese stock market volatility today has a greater impact on economic confidence.



Chinese stocks have tempered their gains in recent weeks after surging in late September. Chinese President Xi Jinping on Sept. 26 led a high-level meeting calling for strengthening fiscal and monetary policy support, and halting the decline in real estate.



While the People’s Bank of China has cut interest rates, the Ministry of Finance has yet to release details on widely anticipated fiscal stimulus. Finance Minister Lan Fo’an last month hinted at an increase in the deficit, and indicated any changes needed to undergo an approval process before being announced.



<h2 class="wp-block-heading" id="h-how-large"><a></a>How large？</h2>



Analyst forecasts for additional debt issuance vary. China is considering more than 10 trillion yuan in debt issuance over a few years, Reuters reported Tuesday, citing sources.



Chinese authorities may not announce a specific number, but if they do, it should be more than 4 trillion yuan, given that was the amount issued in the wake of the 2008 financial crisis, said Zong Liang, chief researcher at Bank of China. He expects the deficit could be expanded beyond 4%.



The Chinese government set a deficit target of 3% for this year, after increasing it to 3.8% late last year.



WisdomTree’s Ren said her analysis of official statements, media reports and investment notes revealed that stimulus expectations are inherently about the same. Whether it is 10 trillion yuan over three to five years, or 2 trillion yuan in one year, the average is about 2 trillion yuan in support a year, she pointed out.



<h2 class="wp-block-heading" id="h-consumption-still-in-question"><a></a>Consumption still in question</h2>



“I think people right now are focusing a lot on the topline number,” Ren said. “But they are missing [how] the local government, they are doing a lot of things that are actually counter[ing] stimulus.”



She noted how local authorities have so strictly enforced tax collection in some areas that they have discouraged business activity. Despite some central government support, she said, she expects it will “probably be quite a while” before local authorities “feel they have the cash to spend.”



Dozens of companies in China this year disclosed in stock exchange filings that they have received notices from local authorities to pay back taxes tied to operations as far back as 1994. Local governments once relied on land sales to real estate developers for revenue.



The finance ministry has emphasized its focus on addressing local government debt problems. Analysts have pointed out how additional stimulus will also likely go toward banks, not direct handouts to consumers.



Consumption stimulus may come more from property support at this stage, Citi analysts said in a report Friday. “Having said that, we believe more decisive consumption support could still be a realistic option under more adverse tariff scenarios.”

106621131-15949940512020-07-16t171324z_1245378320_rc2huh9ed5wu_rtrmadp_0_usa-china-travel

China gears up for a big week as markets await U.S. elections and stimulus details

<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="820" height="547" src="https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/M7TCAQPVXRPFFGPEYDQ3ZMQKT4-820x547.jpg" alt="" class="wp-image-548965" srcset="https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/M7TCAQPVXRPFFGPEYDQ3ZMQKT4-820x547.jpg 820w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/M7TCAQPVXRPFFGPEYDQ3ZMQKT4-300x200.jpg 300w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/M7TCAQPVXRPFFGPEYDQ3ZMQKT4-135x90.jpg 135w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/M7TCAQPVXRPFFGPEYDQ3ZMQKT4-768x512.jpg 768w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/M7TCAQPVXRPFFGPEYDQ3ZMQKT4-1536x1025.jpg 1536w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/M7TCAQPVXRPFFGPEYDQ3ZMQKT4-scaled.jpg 2048w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 820px) 100vw, 820px" /><figcaption class="wp-element-caption">People wait to cast their votes in the 2024 general elections in Morwa village near Gaborone, Botswana October 30, 2024. REUTERS/Thalefang Charles</figcaption></figure>



GABORONE, Nov 1 (Reuters) &#8211; Botswana&#8217;s voters delivered a shock defeat to the party that has ruled them for nearly six decades, registering their anger over economic stagnation linked to a decline in the diamond trade by handing victory to opposition presidential candidate Duma Boko.



The 54-year-old, of the Umbrella for Democratic Change (UDC) coalition, will replace President Mokgweetsi Masisi, who on Friday conceded defeat after his Botswana Democratic Party (BDP) lost by a landslide for the first time in 58 years.



&#8220;From tomorrow&#8230; I will start the process of handover,&#8221; Masisi said in an audio clip of his phone call to Boko, which the outgoing leader posted on social media, signalling a smooth power transition.



&#8220;You can count on me to always be there to provide whatever guidance you might want &#8230; We will retreat to being a loyal opposition.&#8221;



Boko has yet to speak publicly on the outcome. Chief Justice Terence Rannowane officially declared him the victor: &#8220;I have the honour and privilege to declare him as elected president of Botswana. I congratulate you profoundly for the confidence that the people have shown in you.&#8221;



Analysts blamed mounting economic grievances, particularly among young people, for the downfall of the BDP, which has governed the southern African state of around 2.5 million people since independence from Britain in 1966.



Like many African countries, Botswana&#8217;s economy has largely depended on the export of a single commodity &#8211; in its case, diamonds.



Unlike many, its leaders have largely resisted the urge to steal or squander their commodity windfall, instead spending it on health, education and social welfare. Botswana&#8217;s GDP per capita was $7,250 in 2023 &#8211; compared with an average for sub-Saharan Africa of $4,800, World Bank data shows.



But a downturn in the global diamond market caused economic growth to plummet this year to a projected 1%, while unemployment rose to 28%.



Botswana is the world&#8217;s top producer by value of diamonds, and the government owns a 15% stake in diamond giant De Beers, a unit of Anglo American Masisi last year negotiated a bigger share of its raw diamonds with the company.



Boko has not indicated that he would want to change the deal.



<h2 class="wp-block-heading" id="h-nothing-to-offer">&#8216;NOTHING TO OFFER&#8217;</h2>



State television showed that based on results from 55 of 61 constituencies, the UDC had won 32 seats in parliament, one more than it needed for a majority. The largest party chooses the president. The BDP was in last place out of four parties, with only four seats.



&#8220;After 58 years in power (the BDP) didn&#8217;t have anything new to offer,&#8221; said analyst Ringisai Chikohomero of the Pretoria-based Institute for Security Studies.



The UDC, by contrast, put forward ambitious policy proposals, he said. It pledged to more than double the minimum wage, improve social services and create a more independent judiciary, among other measures.



The capital Gaborone was calm on Friday morning, with small groups of opposition supporters celebrating in the streets.



&#8220;I did not ever think I would witness this change in my life,&#8221; 23-year-old student Mpho Mogorosi said. &#8220;The BDP had stayed too long &#8230;&nbsp;and I am proud to be part of the people that removed them.&#8221;



The BDP was the second long-ruling party in southern Africa to lose its majority at the polls this year, after South Africa&#8217;s African National Congress failed to&nbsp;win&nbsp;more than half&nbsp;of&nbsp;votes for the first time in 30 years.



Neighbouring Namibia will hold elections later this month in which the ruling SWAPO party, which has governed since 1990, is also expected to face a stiff challenge.



&#8220;The outcome of Botswana&#8217;s elections should serve as a warning to long-time ruling parties across southern Africa and beyond that without economic progress and employment opportunities, political dominance will falter,&#8221; said Zaynab Hoosen, an Africa analyst at consultancy Pangea-Risk.



(Reporting by Brian Benza; Additional reporting and writing by Nellie Peyton; Editing by Alexander Winning, Tim Cocks and Ros Russell)

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